- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Mariners TV Channel: TWTV | RTNW
The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Sunday, June 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Twins are 31-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 28-29 ATS.
Twins vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 2-5, 3.95 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo 0-0, 7.05 ERA
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -110 | +110 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -110 | -135 |
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+15.40 Units / 220% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+9.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.00 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+7.90 Units / 88% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games (+14.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games (+12.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 20 games at home (+13.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 51 games (+8.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 51 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+4.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+4.10 Units / 7% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 31-26 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 7.22% ROI).
- 31-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 1.97% ROI
- 20-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -25.86% ROI
- 33-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.95 Units / 17.42% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 28-29 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.85% ROI).
- 31-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 32-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 10.4% ROI
- 23-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.57 Units / -19.96% ROI
Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Trevor Larnach (MIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kody Clemens (MIN) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Luis Castillo (SEA) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 15% (12 SO in 79 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (14/96) against Chris Paddack this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Chris Paddack has struck out just 12% (15/122) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Chris Paddack allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (55 Total Bases / 110 ABs) on low non-fastballs in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .316 — first Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .233 (10-for-43) against Luis Castillo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — 93rd Percentile.
Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (1,402/2,077) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo allowed a slugging percentage of .415 (154 Total Bases / 371 ABs) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — third Percentile.
Luis Castillo threw fastballs 68% of the time (984/1,445) against right-handed batters in 2023 — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are 166-3 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins were just 15-28 (.349) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
The Twins are 76-31 (.710) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Mariners are 97-1 (.990) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 174-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners were 58-5 (.921) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters have struck out in 27% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins were just 14-29 (.326) against the run line (-32.5% ROI) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Royals (12th best runs scored) today.
Twins hitters struck out 1,654 times in 6,219 PA’s (27%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .206 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .215 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have allowed a run just 19% of the time after their offense scores this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Twins pitchers walked 433 of 6,078 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 31% against the Twins pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Twins vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
