Twins vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 13

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 13, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Twins (35-27) are -105 favorites vs the Mariners (27-33)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (1-2), 3.65 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen (2-7), 4.35 ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-115) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Twins vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 30-30 ATS.

Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +155O 8.5 -110-105
Mariners +1.5 -190U 8.5 -110-115

Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s matchup with 71.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.35 Units / 89% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 53 games (+18.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 52 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.30 Units / 47% ROI)

Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 800 0.5 -3000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 310 0.5 -550
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 275 0.5 -450
J.P. Crawford 0.5 725 0.5 -2500
Jesse Winker 0.5 375 0.5 -650

Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -225 0.5 155
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -155 0.5 110
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -160 0.5 115
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -200 0.5 145
Jesse Winker 0.5 -225 0.5 150

Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 220 0.5 -350
Cal Raleigh 0.5 160 0.5 -250
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 135 0.5 -190
J.P. Crawford 0.5 170 0.5 -250
Jesse Winker 0.5 185 0.5 -275

Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Flexen 4.5 100 4.5 -145
Chris Archer 4.5 115 4.5 -165
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 51 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.72 Units / 10% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 28-34 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -9.48% ROI).

  • 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 7.8% ROI
  • 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.22% ROI
  • 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -7.66% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 30-30 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -8.13% ROI).

  • 27-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -7.69% ROI
  • 31-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.06% ROI
  • 28-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -9.02% ROI

Chris Archer has thrown his fastball for a strike just 53% (159/301) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.

Chris Archer has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 44% (47/106) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Chris Archer has thrown his slider 54% of the time (104/194) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (47/230) against Chris Archer this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.

Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (94/173) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 61% (358/590) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (52/274) against Chris Flexen this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.

Chris Flexen has thrown his slider 41% of the time (336/824) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Twins are 25-2 (.926) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Twins are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Twins are 17-5 (.773) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Twins are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Mariners are just 7-27 (.206) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Mariners are just 14-21 (.400) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Mariners are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .927.

The Mariners are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.

Twins hitters are slugging .586 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Twins hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 53 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .754 (1,623 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .700.

Twins hitters are slugging .293 with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .263.

The Mariners are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .146 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

The Mariners are batting just .107 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Twins pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Twins have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The average home run distance against the Mariners pitchers since the start of last season is 395.9 feet — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Mariners vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10
  • Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.