- The Twins (35-27) are -105 favorites vs the Mariners (27-33)
- Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (1-2), 3.65 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen (2-7), 4.35 ERA
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-115) on Monday, June 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Twins vs Mariners Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 35-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 30-30 ATS.
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -110 | -105 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -110 | -115 |
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s matchup with 71.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+5.35 Units / 89% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 53 games (+18.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+11.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 52 games (+11.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+11.30 Units / 47% ROI)
Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 275 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 375 | 0.5 -650 |
Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 155 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 110 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 115 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 145 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 150 |
Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 135 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jesse Winker | 0.5 185 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Flexen | 4.5 100 | 4.5 -145 |
| Chris Archer | 4.5 115 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 51 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+2.72 Units / 10% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 28-34 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -9.48% ROI).
- 35-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 7.8% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.22% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -7.66% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 30-30 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -8.13% ROI).
- 27-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -7.69% ROI
- 31-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 28-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -9.02% ROI
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has thrown his fastball for a strike just 53% (159/301) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Chris Archer has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 44% (47/106) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 54% of the time (104/194) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (47/230) against Chris Archer this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 0 Percentile.
Christoper Flexen: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (94/173) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Chris Flexen has a strike rate of just 61% (358/590) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (52/274) against Chris Flexen this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — eighth Percentile.
Chris Flexen has thrown his slider 41% of the time (336/824) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are 25-2 (.926) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Twins are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Twins are 17-5 (.773) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
The Twins are 15-4 (.789) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are just 7-27 (.206) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Mariners are just 14-21 (.400) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.
The Mariners are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .927.
The Mariners are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .586 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
Twins hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 53 total hits (49%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .754 (1,623 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Twins hitters are slugging .293 with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .146 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Mariners are batting just .107 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Twins pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Twins have won just 9% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The average home run distance against the Mariners pitchers since the start of last season is 395.9 feet — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Mariners vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10
- Joseph Ryan (Twins): COVID-19, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D15
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