- The Twins (36-28) are -145 favorites vs the Mariners (28-34)
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (3-1), 2.40 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (3-6), 3.62 ERA
- Watch the game on YouTube
The Minnesota Twins (-145) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+120) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Twins vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 36-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 31-31 ATS.
Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +115 | O 7.5 +100 | -145 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -140 | U 7.5 -120 | +120 |
Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Abraham Toro | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Gonzales | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 29-35 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -10.52% ROI).
- 36-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 7.61% ROI
- 30-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -3.57% ROI
- 30-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -4.56% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 31-31 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -6.99% ROI).
- 28-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -7.64% ROI
- 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -2.42% ROI
- 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -5.76% ROI
Sonny Gray: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (403/799) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (80 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (47/252) against Sonny Gray since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .114 (8/70) against Sonny Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 30% (38 SO in 128 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (1,105/2,334) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Marco Gonzales has struck out just 14% (29/212) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .050 (2 GB hits out of 40 GBs) against Marco Gonzales with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Twins are 16-14 (.533) on the road this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Twins are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Twins are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Twins are 25-2 (.926) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Mariners are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mariners are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Mariners are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Mariners are just 7-28 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .576 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .325 (1,692 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Twins have barrels in 7% of PA’s this season (157/2,399) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
The Twins have scored 1.12 runs per game (253/225) in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Mariners are batting just .107 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.
The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed 515 barreled balls since the start of last season — 3rd most in MLB.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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