Twins vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 15, 2022, 10:50 AM
  • The Twins (36-28) are -145 favorites vs the Mariners (28-34)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (3-1), 2.40 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (3-6), 3.62 ERA
  • Watch the game on YouTube

The Minnesota Twins (-145) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+120) on Wednesday, June 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Twins vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 36-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 31-31 ATS.

Twins vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +115O 7.5 +100-145
Mariners +1.5 -140U 7.5 -120+120

Twins vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 60.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+6.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.40 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 55 games (+20.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 32 games (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 54 games (+11.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.55 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Mariners vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Abraham Toro 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
    Adam Frazier 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +290 0.5 -450
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500

    Mariners vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Abraham Toro 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
    Adam Frazier 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 -125 0.5 -115
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -160 0.5 +110
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

    Mariners vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Abraham Toro 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Adam Frazier 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
    Cal Raleigh 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
    Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    J.P. Crawford 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

    Mariners vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Marco Gonzales 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+13.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 62 games (+12.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.05 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 53 games (+6.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.50 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games (+2.97 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 29-35 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -10.52% ROI).

    • 36-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 7.61% ROI
    • 30-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -3.57% ROI
    • 30-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.25 Units / -4.56% ROI

    Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 31-31 against the Run Line (-5.9 Units / -6.99% ROI).

    • 28-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -7.64% ROI
    • 31-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -2.42% ROI
    • 30-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -5.76% ROI

    Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (403/799) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

    Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (80 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

    Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (47/252) against Sonny Gray since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.

    Opponents have a Well-Hit Avg of just .114 (8/70) against Sonny Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .287 — 100th Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 30% (38 SO in 128 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (1,105/2,334) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

    Marco Gonzales has struck out just 14% (29/212) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .050 (2 GB hits out of 40 GBs) against Marco Gonzales with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 109 total IP; League Avg: .230 — 100th Percentile.

    Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

    The Twins are 16-14 (.533) on the road this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.

    The Twins are 3-19 (.136) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Twins are 20-14 (.588) at home this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.

    The Twins are 25-2 (.926) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

    Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

    The Mariners are just 1-27 (.036) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

    The Mariners are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The Mariners are 21-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .926.

    The Mariners are just 7-28 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

    Twins hitters are slugging .576 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

    Twins hitters have an OBP of .325 (1,692 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

    The Twins have barrels in 7% of PA’s this season (157/2,399) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.

    The Twins have scored 1.12 runs per game (253/225) in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.

    Mariners hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

    The Mariners are batting just .107 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .158.

    The Mariners are batting just .300 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.

    The Mariners are batting just .305 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.

    The Twins have won just 8% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    The Twins pitchers have allowed 515 barreled balls since the start of last season — 3rd most in MLB.

    The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    Mariners vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Lewis (Mariners): Concussion, D7
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D10
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Finger, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Sports Hernia, D60
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D10
  • John Crawford (Mariners): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Hamstring, D10
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.