- The Twins are -140 favorites vs the Marlins
- Twins vs Marlins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | TWTV
The Minnesota Twins (-145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+120) on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Twins are 40-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 47-35 ATS.
Twins vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 8-3, 2.86 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 2-2, 3.80 ERA
Twins vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +115 | O 7.5 -105 | -145 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -135 | U 7.5 -115 | +120 |
Twins vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+13.30 Units / 222% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.35 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Otto Lopez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.50 Units / 388% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+12.50 Units / 125% ROI)
- Agustin Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+11.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 76% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 44 away games (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 74 games (+7.10 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 77 games (+6.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+13.25 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 63 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.70 Units / 49% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 43-40 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 2.6% ROI).
- 40-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.05 Units / -10.15% ROI
- 37-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -10.77% ROI
- 43-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 2.26% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 47-35 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 6.02% ROI).
- 37-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.95 Units / 4.54% ROI
- 42-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -3.13% ROI
- 40-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.15 Units / -6.89% ROI
Marlins vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kyle Stowers (MIA) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Marlins vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Xavier Edwards (MIA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Marlins vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Marlins vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan (MIN) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -105 |
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (41/223) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of just .204 (10 Total Bases / 49 ABs) when behind in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .558 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .171 (22-for-129) against Joe Ryan when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 97th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 36% (52 SO in 144 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 57% of Edward Cabrera’s pitches in the zone (308/540) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
The last hit on a Edward Cabrera curveball was May 31st. Hitters are 0 for their last 17 in ABs ending on his curveball. — Jose Berrios has the longest active streak at 18.
Edward Cabrera has walked 13% of batters since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 32 ABs ending on a two-strike breaking pitch from Edward Cabrera. — Steven Cruz has the longest active streak at 39.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Twins are just 18-27 (.400) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Twins are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 16-27 (.372) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Twins are just 2-105 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Marlins are just 69-14 (.831) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Marlins are just 64-18 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .861.
The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Marlins are just 47-75 (.385) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have struck out in 45% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Twins have a winning percentage of just 40% on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters are slugging just .356 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 41% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .650 (2,876 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Marlins are batting .285 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 31% against the Twins pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.05 (1126.1 IP) at home since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.96.
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers in the 2024 season traveled 518.2 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 470.4
Batters facing the Marlins pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 37% of the time over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%. over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
More MLB Reading:
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