• The Mets are -185 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Twins / Mets TV Channel: TWTV | SNY

The Minnesota Twins (+150) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-185) on April 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Twins are 11-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 8-14 ATS.

Twins vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 0-3, 6.00 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 1-1, 2.28 ERA

Twins vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 62.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Twins vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+19.50 Units / 217% ROI)
• Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 51% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.35 Units / 93% ROI)
• Ryan Jeffers has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 103% ROI)
• Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 away games (+6.95 Units / 174% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+10.95 Units / 44% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+9.20 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.55 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.15 Units / 15% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 12-10 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -1.79% ROI).

• 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 4.44% ROI
• 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 8.47% ROI
• 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -17.56% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 8-14 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -22.24% ROI).

• 7-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.1 Units / -44.71% ROI
• 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -12.91% ROI
• 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 4.79% ROI

Mets vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Twins are just 6-21 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.

The Twins are just 5-69 (.068) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .125.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets are just 2-12 (.143) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Mets are just 6-13 (.316) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.

The Mets are just 0-82 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

Twins hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .288 (827 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .267 (371 PA’s) with bases empty this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (7%) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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