Twins vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 22

New York Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez hits a double against the Detroit Tigers during the third inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader, Thursday, April 4, 2024, in New York. New York Mets catcher Francisco Alvarez hits a double against the Detroit Tigers during the third inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader, Thursday, April 4, 2024, in New York.
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
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  • The Mets are -160 favorites vs the Twins
  • Twins vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
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The Minnesota Twins (+135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-160) on April 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Twins are 12-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 8-15 ATS.

Twins vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Connor Prielipp 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Clay Holmes 2-2, 1.96 ERA

Twins vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -160O 8 -105+135
Mets -1.5 +135U 8 -115-160

Twins vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+18.50 Units / 185% ROI)
  • Royce Lewis has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.85 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+5.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 13-10 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 1.39% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 9.94% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.05 Units / 12.1% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -21.46% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 8-15 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -25.24% ROI).

  • 7-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.7 Units / -47.57% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -8.46% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.2% ROI

Mets vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Juan Soto +390
Byron Buxton +400
Matt Wallner +450
Francisco Lindor +475
Mark Vientos +500

Mets vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Luis Robert 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Josh Bell 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mets vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kody Clemens 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Luis Robert 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Mark Vientos 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Brett Baty 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Twins are just 6-21 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 0-8 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Mets are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Mets are just 6-14 (.300) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.

Twins hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .124 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .617 (644 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .328 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .270 (660 PA’s) this month (18 games) — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (7%) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 8% of batters since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 439.9 feet — — shortest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Mets pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.