• The Twins are -118 favorites vs the Mets
• Twins vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Twins / Mets TV Channel: TWTV | SNY

The Minnesota Twins (-118) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-102) on April 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, Queens, NY.

This season, the Twins are 12-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 8-16 ATS.

Twins vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 2-2, 3.34 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Twins vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Twins vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+14.00 Units / 280% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• Royce Lewis has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
• Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.35 Units / 35% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the Walks Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.85 Units / 47% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.40 Units / 44% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.10 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 games at home (+3.65 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 14-10 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 4.26% ROI).

• 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 5.65% ROI
• 13-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 7.41% ROI
• 10-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -16.79% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 8-16 against the Run Line (-7.55 Units / -28.01% ROI).

• 8-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.7 Units / -42.15% ROI
• 10-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -12.26% ROI
• 12-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 3.61% ROI

Mets vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-22 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Twins are just 4-78 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Mets were 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 0-82 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .044.

The Mets are just 4-3 (.571) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.

The Mets were just 0-70 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

Twins hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .616 (650 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% against RHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Mets hitters have put just 20% of their swings in play in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .214 with runners on base in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% against Twins pitchers over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (7%) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Mets pitchers in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 9% of batters since the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Mets pitchers had a strikeout rate of 27% in close and late situations in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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