Twins vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 26

Baltimore Orioles' Adley Rutschman in action during a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
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  • The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Twins
  • Twins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Twins / Orioles TV Channel: TWTV | MASN

The Minnesota Twins (+120) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on March 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 3:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Twins are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 0-0 ATS.

Twins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Twins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -175O 8.5 -115+120
Orioles -1.5 +145U 8.5 -105-135

Twins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+10.35 Units / 173% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+7.15 Units / 119% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Trevor Rogers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+11.20 Units / 124% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 80 away games (+18.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 75 away games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 81 away games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 141 games (+30.03 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 157 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 113 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+8.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.45 Units / 37% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Orioles vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) +300
Pete Alonso (BAL) +310
Byron Buxton (MIN) +333
Taylor Ward (BAL) +375
Tyler O'Neill (BAL) +375

Orioles vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Martin (MIN) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Pete Alonso (BAL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Luke Keaschall (MIN) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160

Orioles vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso (BAL) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Tyler O'Neill (BAL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220

Orioles vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joe Ryan (MIN) 6.5 +110 6.5 -145
Trevor Rogers (BAL) 5.5 +145 5.5 -190

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 22-28 (.440) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face the Orioles (25th runs allowed).

The Twins were just 20-76 (.208) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .286.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins won only 40% of their road games last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Orioles hitters had an OPS of just .671 (3,064 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters slugged just .371 on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters had an OBP of just .307 (2,534 PA’s) with runners on base in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters slugged just .189 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (7%) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .276 against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers had 255 three-pitch strikeouts in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Orioles pitchers had an ERA of 4.62 (1432.2 IP) in the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.