Twins vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 28

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  • The Orioles are -160 favorites vs the Twins
  • Twins vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Twins / Orioles TV Channel: FS1 | TWTV | MASN

The Minnesota Twins (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on March 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Twins are 0-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 0-1 ATS.

Twins vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Twins vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -170O 7.5 -105+135
Orioles -1.5 +140U 7.5 -115-160

Twins vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+9.35 Units / 134% ROI)
  • Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Walks Over in his last 5 away games (+7.40 Units / 148% ROI)
  • Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 25 away games (+6.70 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 102% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 80 away games (+18.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 75 away games (+10.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 80 away games (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 away games (+5.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 87 of their last 141 games (+30.03 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 92 of their last 157 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 113 games (+9.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 76 games (+8.05 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.45 Units / 37% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 57.14% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 71.43% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Orioles vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Pete Alonso (BAL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Kody Clemens (MIN) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Samuel Basallo (BAL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Orioles vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Luke Keaschall (MIN) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Pete Alonso (BAL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Byron Buxton (MIN) 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Orioles vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235
Samuel Basallo (BAL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -235
Matt Wallner (MIN) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +210 0.5 -285

Orioles vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Taj Bradley (MIN) 4.5 -150 4.5 +115
Kyle Bradish (BAL) 6.5 +130 6.5 -165

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 7-14 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Twins were just 9-41 (.180) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Orioles were just 1-77 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .043.

The Orioles were just 12-51 (.190) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.

The Orioles were 65-20 (.765) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Orioles were just 63-10 (.863) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters slugged just .329 on pitches 95 mph or greater in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters slugged just .371 on the road in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters slugged just .189 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters had an OBP of just .307 (2,534 PA’s) with runners on base in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters had 99 extra-base hits out of 225 total hits (44%) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Twins pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 80 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (7%) in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers walked 7% of batters in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers allowed an OBP of .352 (1,434 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers had a strikeout rate of 23% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers had an ERA of 5.17 (458.0 IP) against division opponents in the 2025 season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.