• The Padres are -145 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Padres Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Twins / Padres TV Channel: TWTV | PDTV

The Minnesota Twins (+118) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-145) on August 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Twins are against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are ATS.

Twins vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 7-4, 4.62 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 7-6, 4.83 ERA

Twins vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Twins vs Padres and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luke Keaschall has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+20.00 Units / 222% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+16.80 Units / 38% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+15.40 Units / 56% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.95 Units / 39% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 49% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games at home (+21.90 Units / 243% ROI)
• Luis Campusano has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+11.45 Units / 114% ROI)
• Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 away games (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 away games (+6.30 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 64% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 51% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+13.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+12.95 Units / 34% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Padres vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Twins are just 11-9 (.550) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 24-19 (.558) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are just 19-24 (.442) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Padres (eighth fewest runs allowed).

The Twins are just 10-30 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Padres are 22-16 (.579) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Twins (27th fewest runs allowed).

The Padres are 47-4 (.922) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Padres are 57-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Padres are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .294 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 74 extra-base hits out of 166 total hits (45%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .198 on pitches out of the zone this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .221 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

The Padres have answered-back in 38% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB.

The Padres are batting .367 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres hitters are slugging just .369 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OPS of .751 (1,555 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.12 (550.0 IP) on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Twins have allowed 5.44 runs per game (348/64) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games at home this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .265 against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

The Padres have allowed 1.08 runs per game (141/130) in late innings this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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