- The Twins (47-40) are -110 favorites vs the Rangers (39-43)
- Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (4-4), 4.50 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-6), 4.14 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Minnesota Twins (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Sunday, July 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Twins vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 47-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 49-33 ATS.
Twins vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 +100 | -110 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -120 | -110 |
Twins vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 65.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.30 Units / 76% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+4.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+4.65 Units / 15% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 43 games (+10.65 Units / 13% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+10.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 16 games at home (+7.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+6.90 Units / 55% ROI)
Rangers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
Rangers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Rangers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
Rangers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Dylan Bundy | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 85 games (+9.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 39 of their last 70 games (+7.85 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 away games (+5.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+4.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 71 games (+20.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 62 games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 28 games at home (+3.48 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 39-48 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -10.95% ROI).
- 47-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 2.29% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.3 Units / -4.51% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.31% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 49-33 against the Run Line (+12.75 Units / 11.78% ROI).
- 39-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -2.07% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.55 Units / -6.13% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -1.71% ROI
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .406 (13 GB hits out of 32 GBs) against Dylan Bundy with runners on base this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has walked 4 of 125 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 36% of Dylan Bundy’s breaking pitches (439/1,224) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 152 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has not allowed a walk in his last 62 PAs against a LHH dating back to May 25th — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 85.
Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (21/138) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (80/138) against Dane Dunning this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 94th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of .420 (55 Total Bases / 131 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — third Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of .514 (93 Total Bases / 181 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 10th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are just 2-8 (.200) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 25-18 (.581) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Twins are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 13-24 (.351) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Rangers are 22-4 (.846) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Rangers are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 12-36 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 92 total hits (52%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters are slugging .579 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Twins hitters are slugging .434 against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .758 (2,390 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have drawn 190 walks in 2,768 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,085 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
The Rangers are batting .442 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (10 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (4,331 PA’s) at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 13% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 67 of 731 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Jonathan Hernández (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Giovanny Urshela (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Joseph Smith (Twins): Trap, D15
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Archer (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
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