- The Rangers are -155 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Rangers starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Minnesota Twins (+130) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-155) on Friday, September 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Twins vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 69-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 73-59 ATS.
Twins vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -165 | O 8 -105 | +130 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +135 | U 8 -115 | -155 |
Twins vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 68.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 34 games (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+15.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Joe Ryan has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 61% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+10.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 44 games (+9.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Rangers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
Rangers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Rangers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Mitch Garver | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 8.5 +100 | 8.5 -135 |
| Joe Ryan | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 65 away games (+12.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.31 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+21.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 70 of their last 125 games (+19.39 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 125 games (+18.88 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games at home (+14.28 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+12.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 64-70 against the Run Line (-6.95 Units / -4.26% ROI).
- 69-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -7.85% ROI
- 65-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.17% ROI
- 63-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -5.03% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 73-59 against the Run Line (+14.9 Units / 9.15% ROI).
- 75-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 1.39% ROI
- 66-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.17% ROI
- 60-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.3 Units / -8.5% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 56% (563/1,006) against Joe Ryan this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (106/364) against Joe Ryan since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Joe Ryan has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to June 27th — tied with Kenta Maeda for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Hitters have swung at 55% of Joe Ryan’s pitches (1,185/2,152) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .241 (14-for-58) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .341 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (120/358) against Max Scherzer this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (401/561) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 29% (161 SO in 563 PAs) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 90th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 18-33 (.353) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Twins are 124-4 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are just 2-128 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are 22-16 (.579) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
The Rangers are just 67-47 (.588) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Rangers are just 6-117 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 1,054 strikeouts in 3,802 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have been successful in 92% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Twins hitters have 1,382 strikeouts in 5,100 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .230 against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers are batting .268 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .816 (1,358 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .848 (2,531 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
The Rangers have scored 6.09 runs per game (402/66) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.59.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 79 of 1,204 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 375 of 4,997 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 229 of 2,627 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 41% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers have won 58% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Willi Castro (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Back, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
Bet now on Twins vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
