- The Rangers are -190 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel
- Rangers starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
- Watch the game on FOX
The Minnesota Twins (+155) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-190) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Twins vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 0-0 ATS.
Twins vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -125 | O 9 -105 | +155 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +105 | U 9 -115 | -190 |
Twins vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+16.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Jordan Luplow has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 away games (+7.75 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 41 games (+11.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+10.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 21 games at home (+9.55 Units / 45% ROI)
Rangers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rangers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Corey Seager | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Montgomery | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
| Dallas Keuchel | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +115 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 65 away games (+12.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 43 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.31 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+21.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 70 of their last 125 games (+19.39 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 125 games (+18.88 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games at home (+14.28 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games at home (+12.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dallas Keuchel has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (1,096/1,738) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Dallas Keuchel has a strike rate of just 58% (610/1,057) with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Dallas Keuchel has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (325/611) of right-handed hitters since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Dallas Keuchel has a strike rate of just 61% (1,965/3,228) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Montgomery has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 20.0 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 37% (61/166) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Jordan Montgomery — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
37 of Jordan Montgomery’s 138 strikeouts (27%) have come on changeups this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 87th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Twins are just 11-24 (.314) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 18-33 (.353) after a win as underdogs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 57-1 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Rangers are 22-16 (.579) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Rangers are just 2-129 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers are just 2-43 (.044) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Rangers are 65-15 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 1,063 strikeouts in 3,833 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .229 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Twins hitters are slugging .704 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .593.
Twins hitters have 1,392 strikeouts in 5,137 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .304 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .782 (3,870 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
25% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Rangers are batting .267 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 79 of 1,213 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have walked 375 of 5,027 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 231 of 2,636 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D10
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Joshua Jung (Rangers): Thumb, D10
- Nathan Eovaldi (Rangers): Elbow, D15
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Willi Castro (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Back, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
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