Twins vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 24

Tampa Bay Rays' Junior Caminero reacts after hitting a home run during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets Saturday, June 14, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Pamela Smith)
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  • The Twins are +105 favorites vs the Rays
  • Twins vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
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The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on April 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Twins are 12-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 13-11 ATS.

Twins vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 3-0, 1.63 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 1-0, 2.75 ERA

Twins vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +170O 7.5 -118+105
Rays +1.5 -210U 7.5 -102-125

Twins vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ryan Jeffers has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+15.50 Units / 194% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+8.75 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 away games (+7.95 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Walks Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Junior Caminero has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+10.45 Units / 131% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.65 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+7.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Junior Caminero has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+7.60 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 24 games (+11.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+8.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+6.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 away games (+5.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+9.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+5.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 14-11 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 1.28% ROI).

  • 12-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.35 Units / 1.31% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 10.77% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -20.11% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 13-11 against the Run Line (+0.65 Units / 2.06% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 7.14% ROI
  • 15-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.25 Units / 27.62% ROI
  • 7-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -36.72% ROI

Rays vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +325
Byron Buxton +340
Matt Wallner +450
Kody Clemens +475
Royce Lewis +525

Rays vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Byron Buxton 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Luke Keaschall 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Rays vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Trevor Larnach 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Hunter Feduccia 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Taylor Walls 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Royce Lewis 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Twins were just 5-19 (.208) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-22 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 4-79 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Twins are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rays are 10-0 (1.000) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Rays are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.

The Rays were just 57-14 (.803) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Rays are just 67-14 (.827) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

Twins hitters slugged just .163 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins batted just .126 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .306 with runners on base in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .211 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Twins pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this month (19 games) — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into 128 double plays in 1,070 opportunities (12%) in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.