• The Red Sox are -120 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Twins / Red Sox TV Channel: TWTV | NESN

The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-120) on May 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Twins are 24-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 20-28 ATS.

Twins vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Taj Bradley 4-1, 2.85 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Jovani Moran 0-1, 2.84 ERA

Twins vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Twins vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Ryan Kreidler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+26.50 Units / 294% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
• Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.90 Units / 59% ROI)
• Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.80 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.80 Units / 270% ROI)
• Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.15 Units / 48% ROI)
• Willson Contreras has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
• Wilyer Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+13.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+11.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 28-23 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -4.67% ROI).

• 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -2.66% ROI
• 28-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 12.24% ROI
• 19-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -21.29% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-28 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -12.67% ROI).

• 22-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -20.06% ROI
• 22-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -14.27% ROI
• 27-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 4.71% ROI

Red Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Twins are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Twins are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Twins are just 7-24 (.226) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 27-97 (.218) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Red Sox are just 8-15 (.348) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Red Sox are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Red Sox are just 2-15 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.

The Red Sox are just 7-11 (.389) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Twins (21st runs allowed).

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .198 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 56 total hits (50%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .277 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .351 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .328 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .194 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.92 runs per game (46/50) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .217 against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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