• The Red Sox are -160 favorites vs the Twins
• Twins vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Twins / Red Sox TV Channel: TWTV | NESN

The Minnesota Twins (+135) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-160) on May 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Twins are 24-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 20-28 ATS.

Twins vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 5-2, 3.64 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 5-1, 2.98 ERA

Twins vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Twins vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Twins vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

• player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• player  high – home

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.75 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+13.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+11.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 28-23 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -4.67% ROI).

• 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -2.66% ROI
• 28-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 12.24% ROI
• 19-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -21.29% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 20-28 against the Run Line (-7.65 Units / -12.67% ROI).

• 22-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -20.06% ROI
• 22-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -14.27% ROI
• 27-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 4.71% ROI

Red Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Twins are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Twins are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Twins are just 2-9 (.182) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Twins are just 7-24 (.226) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Red Sox are just 8-16 (.333) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Red Sox are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Red Sox are just 7-12 (.368) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Twins (23rd runs allowed).

The Red Sox are just 5-16 (.238) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .366.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

Twins hitters have 28 extra-base hits out of 57 total hits (49%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .200 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .347 (640 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .323 at home this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .350 against RHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .441 in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .272 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .265 against Twins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.90 runs per game (46/51) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Red Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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