- The Twins are -160 favorites vs the Royals
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo López, – ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Donald Greinke, – ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Minnesota Twins (-160) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+135) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Twins vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 11-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 16-6 ATS.
Twins vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +100 | O 9 -105 | -160 |
| Royals | +1.5 -120 | U 9 -115 | +135 |
Twins vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 63.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Royals vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Royals vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gordon | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Royals vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gordon | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Royals vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Greinke | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
| Lopez | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -120 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 75 of their last 160 games (+10.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 160 games (+9.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 73 away games (+6.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games at home (+18.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 43 games at home (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 11-10 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.19% ROI).
- 11-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.45 Units / 13.66% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -18.6% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 11.04% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 16-6 against the Run Line (+10.9 Units / 37.14% ROI).
- 15-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 38.88% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.95 Units / -3.89% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -2.91% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.2 innings pitched — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 28.2.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 31% (134/429) against Pablo Lopez vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 38% — 96th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has pitched 9.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — J.P. Feyereisen has the longest active streak at 24.1.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Greinke has not allowed a home run in any of the last 30.2 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
The last hit on a Zack Greinke curveball was September 20th, 2022. Hitters are 0 for their last 16 in ABs ending on his curveball. — Tyler Glasnow has the longest active streak at 28.
Zack Greinke has not allowed a HR in any of his last five games started dating back to September 7th, 2022 — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 42% (76/182) against Zack Greinke with two-strikes in 2022 — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 36% — eighth Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Twins are just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 9-36 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Twins are just 8-56 (.125) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Twins are just 32-48 (.400) on the road last season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Royals are just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Royals are just 26-55 (.321) on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Royals are just 9-68 (.117) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins have 770 barreled balls since the start of the 2021 season — 4th most in MLB.
The Twins batted just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Twins hitters have 180 extra-base hits out of 447 total hits (40%) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 642 strikeouts in 3,264 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .991 (2,308 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.083.
Royals hitters are slugging just .243 with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 32% on the road last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won just 17% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers walked 126 of 1,420 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Ronny Henriquez (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
Bet now on Twins vs Royals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
