- The – are favorites vs the –
- Twins starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Minnesota Twins () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Thursday, August 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 60-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 59-55 ATS.
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 69.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.10 Units / 43% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ryan Jeffers has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+10.65 Units / 81% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+15.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+10.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.30 Units / 80% ROI)
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Wallner | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Reese Olson | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 59 away games (+13.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 48 games (+4.69 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.99 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 104 games (+3.75 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.25 Units / 10% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 54-62 against the Run Line (-10.15 Units / -7.16% ROI).
- 60-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / -7.13% ROI
- 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -5.48% ROI
- 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -3.1% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 59-55 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -2.84% ROI).
- 51-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 2.01% ROI
- 59-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 2.87% ROI
- 50-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.1 Units / -11.44% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .415 (22 GB hits out of 53 GBs) against Kenta Maeda this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has a strikeout rate of 35% (37 SO in 106 PAs) over the last 30 days (5 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 11 innings — Brent Suter has the longest active streak at 18.
Kenta Maeda has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to July 19th — the longest active streak is 7.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to July 16th — the longest active streak is 7.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (13/37) against Reese Olson on low breaking pitches this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 44 total IP; League Avg: 49% — fifth Percentile.
Reese Olson has struck out just 12% (7/56) of right-handed batters he faced over the last 30 days (4 games) — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.312 (21 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when behind in the count over the last 30 days (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .651 — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 24-6 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 20-53 (.274) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .358.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are 21-6 (.778) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .613.
The Tigers are just 18-79 (.186) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Tigers are just 18-112 (.138) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 10-11 (.476) after a win as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .591.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 918 strikeouts in 3,313 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .225 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Twins are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .150.
Twins hitters are slugging just .155 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .632 (7,618 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .347 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .283 (537 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .630 (3,188 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 67 of 1,039 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 22 of 448 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 325 of 4,308 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .299 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Joseph Ryan (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Shoulder, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Donovan Solano (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Oblique, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
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