Twins vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (50-44) are -175 favorites vs the Tigers (38-56)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (6-3), 2.98 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Pineda (2-5), 5.21 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Minnesota Twins (-175) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+145) on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 50-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 44-50 ATS.

Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 -105O 8.5 +100-175
Tigers +1.5 -115U 8.5 -120+145

Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 53.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Gilberto Celestino has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Gilberto Celestino has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 36 games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Harold Castro 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Javier Baez 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Harold Castro 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Javier Baez 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jonathan Schoop 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Akil Baddoo 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Harold Castro 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Javier Baez 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Pineda 2.5 -135 2.5 -105
Joe Ryan 4.5 -110 4.5 -130
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+9.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 away games (+6.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 92 games (+5.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 82 games (+5.05 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 31 away games (+4.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 91 games (+19.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games (+13.70 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games at home (+8.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 47% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 42-52 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -10.46% ROI).

  • 50-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.2% ROI
  • 43-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -4.28% ROI
  • 44-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.5 Units / -3.35% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 44-50 against the Run Line (-13.9 Units / -11.58% ROI).

  • 38-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -8.74% ROI
  • 34-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.7 Units / -24.94% ROI
  • 55-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +18 Units / 17.26% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (16/132) against Joe Ryan with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (63/213) against Joe Ryan this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (33/110) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (25/82) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Michael Pineda: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael Pineda has allowed a slugging percentage of .675 (52 Total Bases / 77 ABs) this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .373 — first Percentile.

Michael Pineda has allowed an OPS of 1.132 (38 PA’s) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .689 — second Percentile.

Michael Pineda has allowed a slugging percentage of .711 (27 Total Bases / 38 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .364 (28-for-77) against Michael Pineda this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins are just 5-6 (.455) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 44-13 (.772) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Twins are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 14-115 (.109) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .126.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Tigers are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .285.

The Tigers are just 38-48 (.442) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Tigers are just 16-32 (.333) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.

Twins hitters are slugging .547 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .442.

Twins hitters have 48 extra-base hits out of 96 total hits (50%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters are slugging just .290 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .742 (3,545 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .590 (2,498 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,721 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,721 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .316 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 10% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.3 MPH since the start of last season (6,509 balls in play) — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 5% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this month (20 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Hamstring, D15
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.