Twins vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 11

Detroit Tigers' Parker Meadows reacts after hitting a double against the Oakland Athletics during the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Sept. 24, 2023, in Oakland, Calif.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
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  • The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the Twins
  • Twins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Twins / Tigers TV Channel: TWTV | DSN

The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on June 11, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Twins are 31-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 29-36 ATS.

Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 2-3, 4.25 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 2-4, 4.00 ERA

Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -185O 9.5 -115+110
Tigers -1.5 +150U 9.5 -105-135

Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+16.90 Units / 211% ROI)
  • Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Luke Keaschall has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Royce Lewis has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+15.50 Units / 155% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+9.40 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+12.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 away games (+1.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 38-31 against the Run Line (-3 Units / -3.01% ROI).

  • 31-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -7.34% ROI
  • 40-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.5 Units / 17.75% ROI
  • 24-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.1 Units / -26.52% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 29-36 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -12.19% ROI).

  • 28-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.2 Units / -21.12% ROI
  • 31-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -6.85% ROI
  • 33-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.87% ROI

Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +200
Kerry Carpenter +270
Kody Clemens +310
Riley Greene +340
Dillon Dingler +380

Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Riley Greene 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brooks Lee 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Riley Greene 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Tristan Gray 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Kody Clemens 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins are just 0-31 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .058.

The Twins are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .111.

The Twins are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 7-26 (.212) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers are just 21-11 (.656) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.

The Tigers are just 24-5 (.828) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.

The Tigers are just 3-23 (.115) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.

The Tigers are just 20-7 (.741) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Twins are batting just .282 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 40 extra-base hits out of 81 total hits (49%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters have struck out in 23% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 14% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .213 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.63 (281.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have had third base stolen on them 8 times this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 26 home runs at home this season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Tigers pitchers over the past seven days (5 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.