- The Twins are -130 favorites vs the Tigers
- Twins starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Minnesota Twins (-130) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on Friday, June 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 38-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 39-34 ATS.
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -105 | -130 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -115 | +110 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 66.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 103% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 away games (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 24 games at home (+10.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Royce Lewis | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 34 away games (+14.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.45 Units / 41% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 37-39 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -3.28% ROI).
- 38-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -10.99% ROI
- 34-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9 Units / -10.66% ROI
- 39-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 2.7% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 39-34 against the Run Line (+0.35 Units / 0.39% ROI).
- 32-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 5.52% ROI
- 40-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 5.51% ROI
- 32-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.15 Units / -14.11% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .550 (11-for-20) against Joey Wentz on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .275 — 0 Percentile.
Joey Wentz has allowed a slugging percentage of .850 (17 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .429 — second Percentile.
Joey Wentz has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Tristan Beck has the longest active streak at 18.2.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .471 (16 GB hits out of 34 GBs) against Joey Wentz with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: .256 — 0 Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 7-22 (.241) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 30-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins are just 17-31 (.354) after a road win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 15-95 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Tigers are just 52-65 (.444) at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Tigers are just 25-39 (.391) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Tigers are just 95-120 (.442) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 594 strikeouts in 2,200 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .144 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Twins hitters are slugging just .230 with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Twins are batting just .219 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,555 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .352 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .624 (1,388 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 47 of 684 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Twins have won just 13% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 205 of 2,734 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 188 of 2,079 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .317 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Jorge López (Twins): Mental Health, D15
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