- The Twins are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo López
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
- Watch the game on FOX
The Minnesota Twins (-160) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+135) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Detroit.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are ATS.
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +100 | O 8 -105 | -160 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | U 8 -115 | +135 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 73.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+13.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 108% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reese Olson | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
| Pablo Lopez | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 34 away games (+14.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 62 games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.45 Units / 41% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Pablo Lopez allowed a batting average of just .161 vs right-handed batters (tied for sixth best)– 94th Percentile and .311 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (10th worst among qualified SPs)– 14th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (268/370) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (291/803) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his curveball 30% of the time (282/939) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (134/328) against Lance Lynn on elevated fastballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn had a strikeout rate of 42% (55/131) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs in 2022 — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 16% (11/68) versus Lance Lynn with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 74% of Lance Lynn’s pitches in the zone (753/1,011) in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 7-22 (.241) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 31-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .780.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 7-11 (.389) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 52-66 (.441) at home since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Tigers are just 15-95 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Tigers are 22-2 (.917) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .144 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .293 (696 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Twins hitters are slugging just .372 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Twins hitters have been successful in 129% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,587 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .625 (6,587 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (8,658 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins pitchers have a strike rate of 66% this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a swing rate of 50% against the Twins pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 209 of 2,773 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 188 of 2,088 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Jorge López (Twins): Mental Health, D15
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