- The – are favorites vs the –
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Minnesota Twins () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Sunday, June 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 39-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 40-35 ATS.
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 66.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+13.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Zach McKinstry | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 36 away games (+14.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 64 games (+9.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+7.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+3.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 38-40 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -2.94% ROI).
- 39-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -11.24% ROI
- 34-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.3 Units / -13.03% ROI
- 41-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 4.98% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 40-35 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.11% ROI).
- 33-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 5.89% ROI
- 40-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 2.62% ROI
- 34-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -11.28% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has allowed a .759 SLG vs right-handed batters (worst)– first Percentile and just .250 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for seventh best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 80% of the time (360/451) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has elevated his fastball 80% of the time (360/451) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (676/870) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .306 vs right-handed batters (tied for 12th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .188 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for eighth best among non-qualified SPs)– 91st Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .190 (8 Total Bases / 42 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .396 — 96th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 40 PAs) in late innings since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of just 18% (53/300) against Tanner Banks in 2022 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 7-22 (.241) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 14-29 (.326) after a win as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Twins are just 18-32 (.360) after a road win since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Twins are 15-3 (.833) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .608.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are just 15-95 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Tigers are just 16-63 (.203) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Tigers are just 26-39 (.400) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Tigers are 26-2 (.929) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .144 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have been successful in 129% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 57%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .293 (699 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .670 (699 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .624 (6,621 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,621 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .339 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .616 (2,725 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Twins pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 49 of 701 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 188 of 2,097 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 211 of 2,810 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have struck out 44% of left-handed batters they faced over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Jorge López (Twins): Mental Health, D15
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