- The Tigers are -160 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Twins / Tigers TV Channel: TWTV | FDDT | MLBN
The Minnesota Twins (+115) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on Saturday, June 28, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Twins are 40-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 45-38 ATS.
Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 4-5, 4.89 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 7-2, 2.88 ERA
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -102 | +115 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -118 | -135 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+16.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+12.50 Units / 208% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+12.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.05 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.60 Units / 146% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 66% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 42% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+9.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 away games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 away games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 83 games (+16.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 80 games (+14.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 82 games (+11.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+10.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+7.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 43-38 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 5.04% ROI).
- 40-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -8.47% ROI
- 36-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -11.02% ROI
- 42-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 2.42% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 45-38 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 2.96% ROI).
- 51-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.15 Units / 8.98% ROI
- 41-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.28% ROI
- 38-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.15 Units / -7.75% ROI
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ty France (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Casey Mize (DET) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has allowed a SLG of .505 non-fastballs this season — fourth worst among qualified SPs– sixth Percentile. He allowed a SLG of just .270 non-fastballs last season — fifth best among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .282 against Bailey Ober non-fastballs this season — worst among qualified SPs– first Percentile. Opponents batted just .148 (45-for-304) against him non-fastballs last season — best among qualified SPs– 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (27/105) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (42/149) against Bailey Ober this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (210/302) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents batted .338 (52-for-154) against Casey Mize versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Casey Mize has thrown 58% of his pitches in the strike zone (130/224) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Casey Mize has a strike rate of 71% (160/224) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are 24-15 (.615) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins are just 2-103 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Twins are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers are 30-2 (.938) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 44-10 (.815) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
The Tigers are 51-32 (.614) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .307 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
26% of Twins hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .165 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Twins hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging .460 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .798 (880 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of 1.171 (81 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 7.23 (117.0 IP) at home this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.05.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 5.98 (218.1 IP) this month (25 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Tigers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 60% of the time over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Tigers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 67% of the time over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
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