- The Tigers are -300 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Twins / Tigers TV Channel: ESPN
The Minnesota Twins (+225) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-275) on Sunday, June 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Twins are 40-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 46-38 ATS.
Twins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 3-6, 4.64 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 9-2, 2.30 ERA
Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 +100 | O 7.5 -125 | +225 |
| Tigers | -1.5 -120 | U 7.5 +105 | -275 |
Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 68.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 20 games (+16.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in his last 5 away games (+14.30 Units / 286% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- Harrison Bader has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Brooks Lee has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.45 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Walks Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+10.00 Units / 63% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 43 away games (+8.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 73 games (+8.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 76 games (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 84 games (+17.78 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games (+15.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 83 games (+12.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 84 games (+11.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 56 games (+8.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 43-39 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 3.59% ROI).
- 40-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -9.32% ROI
- 37-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -9.79% ROI
- 42-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.1 Units / 1.2% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 46-38 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 4.09% ROI).
- 52-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 9.66% ROI
- 42-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.75 Units / 0.82% ROI
- 38-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -8.84% ROI
Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Carlos Correa (MIN) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Paddack (MIN) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +105 |
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Paddack has a strikeout rate of just 17% (20 SO in 117 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — third Percentile.
Chris Paddack has struck out just 13% (24/180) of left-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.
52% of Chris Paddack’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Chris Paddack has walked 2% of left-handed batters this month (5 games) — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 71% (1,039/1,467) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .237 (389 PA’s) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .244 (1,141 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 97th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has walked 3% of batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Twins are just 2-104 (.019) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Twins were just 1-68 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Twins are just 3-7 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 16-26 (.381) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 44-10 (.815) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Tigers are 38-4 (.905) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Tigers are 29-14 (.674) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .545.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have drawn walks in 8% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Twins are batting just .231 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Twins are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .596 (524 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (26 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Tigers hitters are slugging .517 against LHP this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .873 (272 PA’s) against LHP this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of 1.206 (80 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 7.23 (117.0 IP) at home this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have an ERA of 6.16 (226.1 IP) this month (26 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Batters facing the Tigers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 59% of the time over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.59 (2194.1 IP) since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.
More MLB Reading:
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