Twins vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 1

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 01, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Twins (77-80) are -140 favorites vs the Tigers (63-93)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (8-8), 4.93 ERA
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (3-9), 4.54 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Minnesota Twins (-140) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+115) on Saturday, October 1, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Detroit.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Twins vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 77-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 74-82 ATS.

Twins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +120O 8 +100-140
Tigers +1.5 -145U 8 -120+115

Twins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Tigers vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 away games (+13.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 41 of his last 67 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+10.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+9.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)

Tigers vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Harold Castro 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Javier Baez 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Riley Greene 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Tigers vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Harold Castro 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Javier Baez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Riley Greene 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 +105 0.5 -150

Tigers vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Akil Baddoo 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Harold Castro 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Javier Baez 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Riley Greene 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

Tigers vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Bundy 3.5 -105 3.5 -135
Drew Hutchison 4.5 +120 4.5 -165
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 155 games (+11.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 68 away games (+8.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+5.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 82 of their last 153 games (+19.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 102 games (+8.80 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 39 games (+5.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 56 games (+4.25 Units / 7% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 73-84 against the Run Line (-15.55 Units / -8.07% ROI).

  • 77-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -6.58% ROI
  • 72-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.6 Units / -4.4% ROI
  • 73-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -3.72% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 74-82 against the Run Line (-19.5 Units / -9.9% ROI).

  • 63-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -5.27% ROI
  • 60-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -17.84% ROI
  • 83-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.05 Units / 10.53% ROI

Dylan Bundy has averaged 79.4 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 85.2 — sixth Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has averaged 89.1 MPH on fastballs this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — third Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 71% (714/1,000) in two strike counts since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (73/241) against Dylan Bundy this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drew Hutchison has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to August 28th — Gerrit Cole has the longest active streak at 7.

Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 14% (63 SO in 443 PAs) this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 5% (5 SO in 95 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 14% — sixth Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Twins are just 4-13 (.235) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-58 (.094) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.

The Twins are 69-25 (.734) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Twins are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Tigers are 13-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Tigers are just 8-44 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Tigers are just 7-31 (.184) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Tigers are just 4-6 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins hitters are slugging .492 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .445.

The Twins are batting .415 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Twins hitters have put 40% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Twins hitters have 179 extra-base hits out of 444 total hits (40%) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .329 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (8,415 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters have 521 strikeouts in 1,800 PA’s (29%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,184 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Twins have won just 18% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 66% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Willi Castro (Tigers): Hamstring, D10
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Back, D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Sandy León (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.