- The White Sox (38-40) are -130 favorites vs the Twins (46-37)
- Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (2-3), 3.08 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech (2-5), 2.77 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Minnesota Twins (+110) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-130) on Tuesday, July 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 46-37 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 37-41 ATS.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -105 | +110 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -115 | -130 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 86% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 38 games at home (+20.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 37 games (+14.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+9.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Seby Zavala has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.10 Units / 118% ROI)
White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Leury Garcia | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Leury Garcia | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Luis Robert | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Leury Garcia | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 81 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 71 games (+9.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+6.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+6.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 36% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 37-46 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -10.77% ROI).
- 46-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.8 Units / 4.22% ROI
- 36-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -9.13% ROI
- 41-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 1.25% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 37-41 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -5.7% ROI).
- 38-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -7.6% ROI
- 37-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.75 Units / -3.23% ROI
- 37-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.6 Units / -4.15% ROI
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (40/90) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown his fastball for a strike just 53% (219/412) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
The last hit on a Chris Archer slider was June 19th. Hitters are 0 for their last 20 in ABs ending on his slider. — the longest active streak is 27.
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 53% of the time (145/276) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Kopech: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .144 (20-for-139) against Michael Kopech this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 12% (8/66) against Michael Kopech this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 12 of 51 batters (23%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .165 (39-for-237) against Michael Kopech this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 99th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 32-5 (.865) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Twins are 4-25 (.138) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .107.
The Twins are just 4-5 (.444) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are 73-13 (.849) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The White Sox are just 4-31 (.114) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The White Sox are just 5-17 (.227) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .287.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .546 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Twins hitters have just 10 strikeouts in 65 PA’s (15%) against LHP over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging .295 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Twins have an average HR distance of 405.9 feet since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .424 (245 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .656.
The White Sox are batting just .114 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
The White Sox are batting .391 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .337.
The White Sox are batting .287 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games at home this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 294 of 3,016 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): ACL, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Joseph Smith (Twins): Trap, D15
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Archer (Twins): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
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