Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 06, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Twins (47-37) are +100 favorites vs the White Sox (38-41)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (6-3), 3.00 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (1-1), 4.50 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Minnesota Twins (+100) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-120) on Wednesday, July 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 47-37 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 37-42 ATS.

Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +155O 8.5 -115+100
White Sox +1.5 -190U 8.5 -105-120

Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 73.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+7.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+6.75 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+5.15 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+4.65 Units / 17% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 39 games at home (+21.30 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 38 games (+15.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.05 Units / 45% ROI)

White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Jose Abreu 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Luis Robert 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Tim Anderson 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Jose Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Luis Robert 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Tim Anderson 1.5 +190 1.5 -275

White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Jose Abreu 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Luis Robert 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Tim Anderson 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lance Lynn 5.5 -120 5.5 -115
Joe Ryan 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 72 games (+10.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 82 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+1.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.95 Units / 12% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 38-46 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -9.58% ROI).

  • 47-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 5.19% ROI
  • 37-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -7.93% ROI
  • 41-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.16% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 37-42 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -6.67% ROI).

  • 38-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -8.86% ROI
  • 38-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -2.03% ROI
  • 37-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -5.24% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (12/112) against Joe Ryan with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 17% (4/23) against Joe Ryan — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (54/185) against Joe Ryan this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

The last hit on a Joe Ryan fastball was June 26th. Hitters are 0 for their last 19 in ABs ending on his fastball. — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 35.

Michael Lynn: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (40/239) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 75% (12/16) against Lance Lynn against right-handed batters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed an OBP of just .115 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes — 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .229 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 21% (100/483) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 92nd Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 42-13 (.764) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Twins are 33-5 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Twins are 4-25 (.138) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are 34-9 (.791) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The White Sox are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 31-5 (.861) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

Twins hitters are slugging .563 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .446.

Twins hitters are slugging .429 against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Twins hitters have just 1 strikeout in 9 PA’s (11%) against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins hitters are slugging .617 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .578.

The White Sox are batting .285 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The White Sox are batting just .154 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .228.

The White Sox are batting .272 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .292 (321 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 299 of 3,059 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 394.1 feet — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% versus the heart of the order since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Vincent Velasquez (White Sox): Finger, D15
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Jacob Burger (White Sox): Hand, D10
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Joseph Smith (Twins): Trap, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D15
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Hip, D15
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.