Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 25

Chicago White Sox's Brooks Baldwin hits a home run during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Saturday, Sept. 27, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
(AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
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  • The Twins are -118 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Twins vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Minnesota Twins (-118) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-102) on May 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Twins are 26-27 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 29-22 ATS.

Twins vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Twins starting pitcher: Zebby Matthews 1-1, 1.39 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Anthony Kay 3-1, 4.25 ERA

Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +145O 8.5 -115-118
White Sox +1.5 -175U 8.5 -105-102

Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+9.00 Units / 112% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+6.60 Units / 13% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Drew Romo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+14.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.10 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games at home (+9.85 Units / 99% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 30-23 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -3.23% ROI).

  • 26-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -0.63% ROI
  • 29-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 10.1% ROI
  • 20-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.9 Units / -19.12% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 29-22 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 0.4% ROI).

  • 26-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.65 Units / 10.68% ROI
  • 31-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.2 Units / 14.72% ROI
  • 20-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.25 Units / -23.45% ROI

White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Byron Buxton +200
Munetaka Murakami +200
Colson Montgomery +240
Kody Clemens +390
Miguel Vargas +425

White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sam Antonacci 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Austin Martin 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Munetaka Murakami 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kody Clemens 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Victor Caratini 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Drew Romo 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jared Kelenic 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Ryan Kreidler 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 0-20 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Twins are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Twins are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 7-24 (.226) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 64-18 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .872.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox are just 83-108 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The White Sox were just 41-121 (.253) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 54% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .286 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have 29 extra-base hits out of 60 total hits (48%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .681 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .445 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The White Sox are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .282 against Twins pitchers with runners on base this season — 4th highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have walked 13% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against White Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 335 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.