- The Twins are -105 favorites vs the White Sox
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober (2-3), 3.17 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (7-10), 3.39 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-115) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 77-82 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 69-89 ATS.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | O 7 +100 | -105 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -200 | U 7 -120 | -115 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 away games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 43 of his last 69 games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 45 of his last 72 games at home (+16.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games at home (+15.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+14.90 Units / 38% ROI)
White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +105 |
White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Eloy Jimenez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johnny Cueto | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 -105 |
| Bailey Ober | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 157 games (+9.20 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 49 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 12% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+15.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 92 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.65 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.15 Units / 41% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 73-86 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -9.01% ROI).
- 77-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.05 Units / -7.67% ROI
- 72-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -5.71% ROI
- 75-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -2.54% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 69-89 against the Run Line (-22.5 Units / -12.06% ROI).
- 79-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.1 Units / -10.12% ROI
- 70-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -8.22% ROI
- 78-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 0.97% ROI
John Ober: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has not walked any of the 31 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (7/23) against Bailey Ober — 7th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (9/32) against Bailey Ober — 6th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Bailey Ober has not allowed a walk in his last 69 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 28th — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 183.
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .480 (12-for-25) against Johnny Cueto — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.
The average home run distance against Johnny Cueto since the start of last season is 411.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 399.0
The average home run distance against Johnny Cueto against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 412.4 feet — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 399.2
Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (503/1,014) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 9-36 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Twins are just 4-13 (.235) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Twins are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The White Sox are just 7-57 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The White Sox are just 7-66 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The White Sox are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting .472 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Twins have scored 1.17 runs per game (374/319) in late innings since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Twins hitters are slugging .493 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Twins hitters have put 37% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters are slugging just .117 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
White Sox hitters have 94 extra-base hits out of 320 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The White Sox are batting just .163 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .157 (223 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1388.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Concussion, D7
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Luis Arraez (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
- Sandy León (Twins): Knee, D60
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
- Trevor Megill (Twins): Oblique, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
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