Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 03, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Twins are -105 favorites vs the White Sox
  • Twins starting pitcher: John Ober (2-3), 3.17 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (7-10), 3.39 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Minnesota Twins (-105) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-115) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 77-82 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 69-89 ATS.

Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +165O 7 +100-105
White Sox +1.5 -200U 7 -120-115

Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 27 games (+16.50 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 26 away games (+15.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 43 of his last 69 games (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 45 of his last 72 games at home (+16.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games at home (+15.20 Units / 89% ROI)
  • Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games at home (+15.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Elvis Andrus has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+14.90 Units / 38% ROI)

White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Elvis Andrus 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Gavin Sheets 0.5 -145 0.5 +105

White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
AJ Pollock 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Andrew Vaughn 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Eloy Jimenez 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Elvis Andrus 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Gavin Sheets 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Johnny Cueto 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
Bailey Ober 5.5 +110 5.5 -160
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 157 games (+9.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.20 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 49 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 20 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+15.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 48 of their last 92 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.65 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+7.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.15 Units / 41% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 73-86 against the Run Line (-17.55 Units / -9.01% ROI).

  • 77-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.05 Units / -7.67% ROI
  • 72-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -5.71% ROI
  • 75-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -2.54% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 69-89 against the Run Line (-22.5 Units / -12.06% ROI).

  • 79-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.1 Units / -10.12% ROI
  • 70-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.35 Units / -8.22% ROI
  • 78-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.7 Units / 0.97% ROI

Bailey Ober has not walked any of the 31 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (7/23) against Bailey Ober — 7th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 45% — 11th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (9/32) against Bailey Ober — 6th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Bailey Ober has not allowed a walk in his last 69 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 28th — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 183.

Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting .480 (12-for-25) against Johnny Cueto — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.

The average home run distance against Johnny Cueto since the start of last season is 411.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 399.0

The average home run distance against Johnny Cueto against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 412.4 feet — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 399.2

Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (503/1,014) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 9-36 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Twins are just 4-13 (.235) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.

The Twins are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 7-40 (.149) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.

The White Sox are just 7-57 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The White Sox are just 7-66 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .117.

The White Sox are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are batting .472 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Twins have scored 1.17 runs per game (374/319) in late innings since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.

Twins hitters are slugging .493 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .445.

Twins hitters have put 37% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .117 with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

White Sox hitters have 94 extra-base hits out of 320 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

The White Sox are batting just .163 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .157 (223 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1388.0 IP) on the road since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.

White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, D10
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Bernardo Zavala (White Sox): Concussion, D7
  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Luis Arraez (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Christopher Archer (Twins): Pectoral, D15
  • Sandy León (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, D15
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
  • Trevor Megill (Twins): Oblique, Day-to-Day
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.