- The Twins are -190 favorites vs the White Sox
- Twins starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda
- White Sox starting pitcher: José Ureña
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Minnesota Twins (-190) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+155) on Thursday, September 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 76-70 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 72-74 ATS.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 -120 | O 9 -105 | -190 |
| White Sox | +1.5 +100 | U 9 -115 | +155 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 79.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 13 away games (+9.70 Units / 75% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 47% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 away games (+9.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- Joe Ryan has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 games at home (+16.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+15.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+13.50 Units / 61% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+11.95 Units / 46% ROI)
White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kenta Maeda | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Jose Urena | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+10.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 71 away games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games at home (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 72-74 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -1.23% ROI).
- 76-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -14 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 72-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -2.68% ROI
- 69-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -5.52% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 72-74 against the Run Line (-15.65 Units / -8.07% ROI).
- 56-90 when betting on the Moneyline for -33.35 Units / -20.22% ROI
- 65-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -15 Units / -9.34% ROI
- 73-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.15% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kenta Maeda has allowed at least one HR in each of his last 10 games dating back to July 19th — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Kenta Maeda has thrown off-speed pitches 71% of the time (505/715) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total NonFB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (23/96) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Kenta Maeda has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (73 Total Bases / 132 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .397 — third Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .333 (151-for-453) against Jose Urena since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.
Jose Urena has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (377/698) of opposing batters since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 50% (71/141) against Jose Urena on inside fastballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Jose Urena has allowed an OBP of .409 (518 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 187 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 0 Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 13-25 (.342) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 30-9 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Twins are 13-46 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 46-8 (.852) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The White Sox are just 7-19 (.269) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The White Sox are just 44-9 (.830) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The White Sox are just 116-11 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 1,499 strikeouts in 5,571 PA’s (27%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters are slugging .729 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Twins hitters have 1,143 strikeouts in 4,170 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .305 (1,401 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .218 (2,847 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .630 (1,726 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
White Sox hitters have drawn 71 walks in 1,474 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 85 of 1,312 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 68% of opposing batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 591 of 5,687 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,124 of 11,832 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Declan Cronin (White Sox): Hand, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Michael A. Taylor (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Back, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Foot, D10
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