- The Twins are -185 favorites vs the White Sox
- Twins starting pitcher: John Ober
- White Sox starting pitcher: Jesse Scholtens
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Minnesota Twins (-185) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+150) on Friday, September 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 77-70 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 72-75 ATS.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 -115 | O 9 -120 | -185 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -105 | U 9 +100 | +150 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 78.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 30 games (+12.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Joe Ryan has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 away games (+8.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+8.60 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 23 games at home (+17.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+16.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+13.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+13.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 54% ROI)
White Sox vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Korey Lee | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
White Sox vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Korey Lee | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
White Sox vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gavin Sheets | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -400 |
| Korey Lee | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
White Sox vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
| Jesse Scholtens | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 56 games (+12.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+11.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 72 away games (+11.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.40 Units / 25% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+10.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 73-74 against the Run Line (-1.2 Units / -0.67% ROI).
- 77-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -13 Units / -6.35% ROI
- 73-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.35 Units / -2.05% ROI
- 69-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -6.11% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 72-75 against the Run Line (-16.65 Units / -8.54% ROI).
- 56-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -34.35 Units / -20.71% ROI
- 66-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -14 Units / -8.66% ROI
- 73-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 0.53% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bailey Ober has elevated his fastball 78% of the time (1,021/1,318) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (1,021/1,318) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (705/899) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 87% of the time (359/412) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .345 (50-for-145) against Jesse Scholtens’ curve and slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .229 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .462 (12 GB hits out of 26 GBs) against Jesse Scholtens with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% (17/51) against Jesse Scholtens on fastballs away this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 52% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .351 (34-for-97) against Jesse Scholtens’ low curves and sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .197 — 0 Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 23-57 (.288) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Twins are just 13-26 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 30-9 (.769) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .609.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 47-8 (.855) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox are just 45-9 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The White Sox are just 7-19 (.269) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The White Sox are just 18-37 (.327) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 1,155 strikeouts in 4,210 PA’s (27%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .148 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Twins hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters are slugging .735 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .597.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .291 (4,146 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .293 (5,448 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters have 182 extra-base hits out of 570 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 409 of 5,479 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 85 of 1,321 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,128 of 11,874 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 125 of 1,308 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Declan Cronin (White Sox): Hand, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- James Lambert (White Sox): Ankle, D15
- Brock Stewart (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jose Miranda (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Matthew Canterino (Twins): Undisclosed, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Michael A. Taylor (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D60
- José De León (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Oliver Ortega (Twins): Back, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Foot, D10
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