Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 02, 2022, 10:59 AM
  • The Twins (67-62) are -140 favorites vs the White Sox (65-66)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (7-4), 3.04 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin (2-4), 4.61 ERA
  • Watch the game on NBCS-CHI

The Minnesota Twins (-140) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+115) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 67-60 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 57-72 ATS.

Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins-1.5 +115O 8 -105-140
White Sox +1.5 -140U 8 -115+115

Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 47 games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 60 of his last 88 games (+28.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 51 of his last 67 games at home (+18.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 61 of his last 90 games (+18.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 50 of his last 90 games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 127 games (+12.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 59 games (+6.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 71 of their last 131 games (+14.55 Units / 10% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 59-68 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -6.31% ROI).

  • 67-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -0.71% ROI
  • 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.32% ROI
  • 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -6.44% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 57-72 against the Run Line (-16.45 Units / -10.73% ROI).

  • 64-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.6 Units / -10.06% ROI
  • 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -7.68% ROI
  • 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 0.59% ROI

Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (106 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 32% (84/262) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.

The average home run distance against Sonny Gray this season is 417.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 398.2

Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (219/436) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Davis Martin: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 57-7 (.891) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Twins are just 10-32 (.238) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 6-32 (.158) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The White Sox are just 5-55 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The White Sox are just 5-49 (.093) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The White Sox are 21-5 (.808) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Twins hitters have an OPS of .762 (1,648 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Twins hitters are slugging .606 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .569.

Twins hitters are slugging .420 on the road since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

Twins hitters have a swing rate of just 28% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The White Sox are batting .371 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .340 (2,615 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 74 of 1,172 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.