- The Twins (67-62) are -140 favorites vs the White Sox (65-66)
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (7-4), 3.04 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Davis Martin (2-4), 4.61 ERA
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Minnesota Twins (-140) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+115) on Friday, September 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 67-60 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 57-72 ATS.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | -1.5 +115 | O 8 -105 | -140 |
| White Sox | +1.5 -140 | U 8 -115 | +115 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 47 games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 60 of his last 88 games (+28.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 51 of his last 67 games at home (+18.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 61 of his last 90 games (+18.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 50 of his last 90 games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 127 games (+12.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 31 of their last 59 games (+6.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.40 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 71 of their last 131 games (+14.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 59-68 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -6.31% ROI).
- 67-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -0.71% ROI
- 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -1.32% ROI
- 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -6.44% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 57-72 against the Run Line (-16.45 Units / -10.73% ROI).
- 64-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.6 Units / -10.06% ROI
- 57-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -7.68% ROI
- 63-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.85 Units / 0.59% ROI
Sonny Gray: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (106 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 32% (84/262) against Sonny Gray with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
The average home run distance against Sonny Gray this season is 417.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (219/436) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Davis Martin: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 57-7 (.891) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Twins are just 10-32 (.238) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 6-32 (.158) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
The White Sox are just 5-55 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The White Sox are just 5-49 (.093) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The White Sox are 21-5 (.808) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of .762 (1,648 PA’s) in the first 3 innings this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Twins hitters are slugging .606 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .569.
Twins hitters are slugging .420 on the road since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Twins hitters have a swing rate of just 28% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The White Sox are batting .371 in hitter’s counts since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .340 (2,615 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 74 of 1,172 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
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