- The White Sox (66-66) are -130 favorites vs the Twins (67-63)
- Twins starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle (6-7), 4.17 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (12-6), 2.26 ERA
- Watch the game on FOX
The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-130) on Saturday, September 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 67-61 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 58-72 ATS.
Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -110 | +105 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -110 | -130 |
Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 47 games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 60 of his last 88 games (+28.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 51 of his last 67 games at home (+18.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 61 of his last 90 games (+18.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 50 of his last 90 games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 128 games (+11.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+8.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 60 games (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 72 of their last 132 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 59-69 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -6.92% ROI).
- 67-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -1.52% ROI
- 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -2.1% ROI
- 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -5.69% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 58-72 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -9.98% ROI).
- 65-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -9.32% ROI
- 57-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -8.39% ROI
- 64-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.28% ROI
Tyler Mahle: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Mahle has thrown elevated pitches 44% of the time (752/1,712) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (103/319) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (20/147) against Tyler Mahle on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (189/497) against Tyler Mahle on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.
Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (420/1,184) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (78/195) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (237/604) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .172 (47-for-273) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 98th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Twins are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 14-26 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 40-29 (.580) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Twins are just 57-7 (.891) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The White Sox are just 5-49 (.093) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The White Sox are just 5-55 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The White Sox are 21-5 (.808) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The White Sox are 33-31 (.516) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 125 total hits (46%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Twins hitters are slugging .604 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
Twins hitters have a groundball batting average of just .222 since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Twins have an average HR distance of 404.7 feet since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
White Sox hitters have 78 extra-base hits out of 266 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .213 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,045 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The longest HR allowed by the White Sox pitchers this season traveled 469.0 feet — — 5th longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0
White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on White Sox vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.