Twins vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 03, 2022, 9:20 AM
  • The White Sox (66-66) are -130 favorites vs the Twins (67-63)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle (6-7), 4.17 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease (12-6), 2.26 ERA
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Minnesota Twins (+105) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-130) on Saturday, September 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Chicago.

The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Twins vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 67-61 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 58-72 ATS.

Twins vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -190O 7.5 -110+105
White Sox -1.5 +155U 7.5 -110-130

Twins vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s matchup with 54.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+15.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 47 games (+13.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 60 of his last 88 games (+28.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 51 of his last 67 games at home (+18.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 61 of his last 90 games (+18.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 50 of his last 90 games (+15.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 128 games (+11.45 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+8.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 60 games (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 72 of their last 132 games (+15.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 59-69 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -6.92% ROI).

  • 67-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -1.52% ROI
  • 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -2.1% ROI
  • 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.05 Units / -5.69% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 58-72 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -9.98% ROI).

  • 65-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -9.32% ROI
  • 57-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -8.39% ROI
  • 64-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.85 Units / 1.28% ROI

Tyler Mahle has thrown elevated pitches 44% of the time (752/1,712) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (103/319) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (20/147) against Tyler Mahle on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (189/497) against Tyler Mahle on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 50% — first Percentile.

Dylan Cease: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (420/1,184) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (78/195) against Dylan Cease on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 39% (237/604) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .172 (47-for-273) against Dylan Cease this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 98th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Twins are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 14-26 (.350) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are 40-29 (.580) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Twins are just 57-7 (.891) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The White Sox are just 5-49 (.093) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The White Sox are just 5-55 (.083) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The White Sox are 21-5 (.808) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The White Sox are 33-31 (.516) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

Twins hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 125 total hits (46%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Twins hitters are slugging .604 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Twins hitters have a groundball batting average of just .222 since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.

The Twins have an average HR distance of 404.7 feet since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.5.

The White Sox are batting .266 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

White Sox hitters have 78 extra-base hits out of 266 total hits (just 29%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

White Sox hitters are slugging just .213 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of .346 (1,045 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The longest HR allowed by the White Sox pitchers this season traveled 469.0 feet — — 5th longest in MLB; League Avg: 460.0

White Sox vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, D15
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.