- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Twins
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
- Watch the game on YES
The Minnesota Twins (+145) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-175) on Friday, April 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Yankees are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Twins vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 8-5 ATS.
Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | +1.5 -135 | O 8.5 -105 | +145 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -115 | -175 |
Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Twins vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 7 games (+8.40 Units / 87% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 56% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 4 games at home (+5.20 Units / 130% ROI)
Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kyle Garlick | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Kyle Garlick | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Garlick | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.95 Units / 29% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 9-4 against the Run Line (+6.8 Units / 46.1% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.95 Units / 29.55% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.9 Units / -26.71% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 18.57% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 8-5 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 36.13% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 7.22% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -2 Units / -13.65% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 3.23% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted .400 (10-for-25) against Louie Varland when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: .243 — fifth Percentile.
Hitters swung at 66% of Louie Varland’s pitches (86/131) with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 90th Percentile.
Louie Varland had a strike rate of 68% (280/411) over the last 30 days of the regular season (5 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 91st Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has thrown elevated pitches 58% of the time (65/112) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (15 Total Bases / 60 ABs) when he was behind in the count in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .582 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (15-for-116) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (170/574) against Nestor Cortes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are just 5-14 (.263) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 12-28 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 9-36 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Yankees are 20-26 (.435) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Yankees were 11-41 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Yankees are 24-92 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .128.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .409 (249 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Twins are batting just .124 with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Twins hitters are slugging just .123 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Twins batted just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 360 walks in 3,532 PA’s (10%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 171 walks in 1,632 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .205 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of just .632 (83 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .749.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 55% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .242 (446 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
In games when their opponents scored three or more runs in an inning, the Yankees have still managed to win 47% of the time in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Yankees vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- David LeMahieu (Yankees): Quad, Day-to-Day
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Knee, D10
- Ronny Henriquez (Twins): Elbow, D15
- James Farmer (Twins): Face, D10
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Side, D10
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
Bet now on Twins vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
