- The – are favorites vs the –
- Twins starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Watch the game on YES
The Minnesota Twins () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Saturday, April 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Twins vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Twins are 10-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 8-6 ATS.
Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+9.65 Units / 91% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.65 Units / 50% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Nick Gordon has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.15 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 62% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+6.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+5.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Oswaldo Cabrera | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gleyber Torres | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
| Tyler Mahle | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 41% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 games (+3.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 10-4 against the Run Line (+7.8 Units / 48.45% ROI).
- 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 36.62% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -32.06% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.6 Units / 23.92% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 8-6 against the Run Line (+3.95 Units / 26.87% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -1.72% ROI
- 6-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -19.94% ROI
- 8-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 9.67% ROI
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .404 (21 GB hits out of 52 GBs) against Tyler Mahle with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (29/168) against Tyler Mahle since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (116/356) against Tyler Mahle on low breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% (57/203) against Tyler Mahle on inside fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (473/1,243) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown off-speed pitches 76% of the time (29/38) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total NonFB; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (70/162) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (5/21) against Domingo German this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 97th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are just 5-14 (.263) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 12-28 (.300) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 13-30 (.302) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 20-27 (.426) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Yankees are 12-44 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Yankees are 21-19 (.525) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Yankees are 31-27 (.534) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .281 (96 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Twins hitters are slugging just .131 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Twins are batting just .176 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Twins hitters have drawn 5 walks in 96 PA’s (5%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .700 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Yankees hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 73% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Yankees are batting just .212 with two outs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Yankees hitters have drawn 171 walks in 1,632 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 56% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents are hitting just .193 against Twins pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Twins pitchers have walked 29 of 482 batters (6%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Batters facing the Yankees pitchers put just 32% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Ronny Henriquez (Twins): Elbow, D15
- James Farmer (Twins): Face, D10
- Joseph Gallo (Twins): Side, D10
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
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