- The – (92-41) are favorites vs the – (92-41)
- Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (2-7), 4.51 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon (12-4), 3.96 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Minnesota Twins () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Twins vs Yankees Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Twins are 68-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 57-74 ATS.
Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Twins | O | ||
| Yankees | U |
Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 52 games (+15.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+13.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -550 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Josh Donaldson | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Donaldson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Giancarlo Stanton | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Donaldson | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Chris Archer | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 73 of their last 130 games (+11.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+8.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 33 of their last 62 games (+7.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 60-70 against the Run Line (-11.35 Units / -7.28% ROI).
- 68-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -1.41% ROI
- 61-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -2.2% ROI
- 59-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.25 Units / -5.74% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 57-74 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -13.37% ROI).
- 79-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -2.17% ROI
- 59-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -10.36% ROI
- 67-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 1.38% ROI
Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 54% of the time (231/428) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 45% (62/137) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Chris Archer has walked 24 of 172 left-handed batters (14%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Chris Archer has thrown his slider 55% of the time (199/362) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 65 total SL; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of just 59% when ahead in the count (eighth lowest)– 14th Percentile and 75% when behind in the count this season (highest among qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 8 of 320 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed an OBP of just .226 (124 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .305 — 95th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 24 of 578 batters (4%) this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 8-43 (.157) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Twins are just 5-8 (.385) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 60-20 (.750) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 7-43 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Yankees are 9-36 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Yankees are 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Yankees are 45-20 (.692) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Twins have barrels in 7% of PA’s since the start of last season (714/10,970) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Twins hitters have just 57 strikeouts in 387 PA’s (15%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Twins hitters have 58 extra-base hits out of 127 total hits (46%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OBP of just .154 (65 PA’s) against RHP this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
The Yankees are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Twins pitchers this month (3 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 170 of 2,646 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 843 of 10,902 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Groin, D15
- Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
- Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
- Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
- Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
- Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
- Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D60
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