Twins vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees (81-54) are -200 favorites vs the Twins (68-65)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan (10-7), 3.87 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole (10-7), 3.27 ERA
  • Watch the game on TBS

The Minnesota Twins (+170) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-200) on Tuesday, September 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Twins vs Yankees Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 68-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 58-74 ATS.

Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -130O 6.5 -105+170
Yankees -1.5 +105U 6.5 -115-200

Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 38 of his last 52 games (+15.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+12.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+13.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Aaron Judge 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +1050 0.5

Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Aaron Judge 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +260 0.5 -450
Aaron Judge 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +250 0.5 -375
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +290 0.5 -500

Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gerrit Cole 6.5 -155 6.5 +110
Joe Ryan 6.5 +110 6.5 -155
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 131 games (+12.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 63 games (+8.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+7.25 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.90 Units / 16% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 60-71 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -8.13% ROI).

  • 68-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -1.98% ROI
  • 61-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.15 Units / -2.88% ROI
  • 60-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -5% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 58-74 against the Run Line (-19.25 Units / -12.48% ROI).

  • 80-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -1.74% ROI
  • 59-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.95 Units / -10.98% ROI
  • 68-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 2.06% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (44/158) against Joe Ryan this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (36/131) against Joe Ryan in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (46/170) against Joe Ryan this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (90/328) against Joe Ryan this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Gerrit Cole: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 62% of the time (1,150/1,864) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (289/767) against Gerrit Cole in non-two strike counts this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has located his pitches away 62% of the time (547/877) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 35% (59 SO in 169 PAs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Twins are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 8-44 (.154) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

The Twins are just 58-7 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Twins are 40-29 (.580) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Yankees are 46-20 (.697) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Yankees are 9-36 (.200) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Yankees are 14-10 (.583) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 53-9 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .320 (3,547 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Twins hitters are slugging .603 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Twins hitters have 3 strikeouts in 8 PA’s (38%) against LHP over the past seven days (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins hitters have 127 extra-base hits out of 296 total hits (43%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Yankees are batting just .213 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

The Yankees are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Twins have won just 18% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 847 of 10,938 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Yankees vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Groin, D15
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
  • Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Bryson Sands (Twins): Arm, D15
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.