- The Astros are -140 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Lucas Giolito
- Astros starting pitcher: José Urquidy
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Chicago White Sox (+115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-140) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The White Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 0-0 ATS.
White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Astros | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -115 | -140 |
White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- AJ Pollock has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 100% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- David Hensley has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
- J.J. Matijevic has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.45 Units / 173% ROI)
Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Diaz | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Diaz | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Diaz | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Urquidy | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Lucas Giolito | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 82 away games (+7.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 82 away games (+3.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+33.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 102 of their last 176 games (+32.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 162 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 117 of their last 176 games (+22.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 176 games (+13.30 Units / 6% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted .312 (114-for-365) against Lucas Giolito in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Lucas Giolito allowed a slugging percentage of .542 (198 Total Bases / 365 ABs) against right-handed batters in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .378 — second Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 28% (128/456) versus Lucas Giolito in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Lucas Giolito allowed an OPS of 1.348 (128 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.001 — second Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 19% (103/541) against Jose Urquidy in 2022 — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 11th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 68% of Jose Urquidy’s pitches (896/1,317) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 37% (184/502) against Jose Urquidy in 2022 — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.
Jose Urquidy has a strike rate of 69% (1,318/1,908) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 96th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox were 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox were just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox are 156-5 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The White Sox were 4-68 (.056) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros were 31-15 (.674) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Astros are 39-33 (.542) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .347.
The Astros are 39-27 (.591) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Astros are 49-29 (.628) vs the 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox batted .271 against LHP in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox hitters hit 95 extra-base hits out of 322 total hits (just 29%) when the pitcher was behind in the count in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (277 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros are batting .189 with two-strikes since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers had an ERA of 3.50 (701.2 IP) on the road in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Astros pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D15
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