White Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 18

Houston Astros' Yordan Alvarez runs up the first base line against the Los Angeles Angels during the fourth inning of a baseball game Sunday, June 4, 2023, in Houston.
(AP Photo/David J. Phillip)
  • The Astros are -400 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • White Sox / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | NSCH

The Chicago White Sox (+310) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-400) on Sunday, August 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the White Sox are 30-94 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 61-61 ATS.

White Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Ky Bush 0-1, 5.20 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 12-5, 3.37 ERA

White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+2.5 -105O 8.5 -120+310
Astros -2.5 -115U 8.5 +100-400

White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 72.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+24.10 Units / 241% ROI)
  • Lenyn Sosa has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+16.70 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+15.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Luis Robert has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.90 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 33 games (+33.20 Units / 101% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+15.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alex Bregman has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+13.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Walks Over in 22 of his last 40 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 away games (+9.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 59 away games (+7.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 38 away games (+2.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+2.05 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 63 of their last 105 games (+18.80 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+13.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 49 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 83 games (+7.15 Units / 7% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 53-71 against the Run Line (-23.9 Units / -16.19% ROI).

  • 30-94 when betting on the Moneyline for -51.65 Units / -40.62% ROI
  • 56-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.35 Units / -9.08% ROI
  • 62-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.71% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 61-61 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.73% ROI).

  • 66-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -4.16% ROI
  • 48-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.35 Units / -22.02% ROI
  • 71-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.95 Units / 13.26% ROI

Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Shay Whitcomb (HOU) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Zach Dezenzo (HOU) 0.5 +575 0.5 -800
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mauricio Dubon (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Andrew Vaughn (CWS) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -160 0.5 +125

Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yordan Alvarez (HOU) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Jeremy Pena (HOU) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Yainer Diaz (HOU) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jake Meyers (HOU) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Jose Altuve (HOU) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Framber Valdez (HOU) 6.5 -150 6.5 +115
Ky Bush (CWS) 3.5 +100 3.5 -135

Ky Bush has walked 12 of 46 batters (26%) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Ky Bush has walked 9 of 32 right-handed batters (28%) this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 36% of Ky Bush’s pitches (65/181) this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Ky Bush has a strike rate of just 55% (100/181) this month (2 games) — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Framber Valdez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .291 (195 Total Bases / 670 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (214/358) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (62/85) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (884/1,452) against Framber Valdez since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The White Sox are just 1-13 (.071) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .469.

The White Sox are just 16-16 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The White Sox are just 11-37 (.229) after a road loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The White Sox are just 26-31 (.456) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Astros are 78-53 (.595) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

The Astros are just 3-9 (.250) after a loss as underdogs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .435.

The Astros are 186-25 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The Astros are just 0-42 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .283 (8,133 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 24% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,913 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .213 (5,576 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.

Astros hitters have just 885 strikeouts in 4,939 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,537/10,874 PA’s) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,378/16,928 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 16 of 111 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 2% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 6% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Astros pitchers have walked 973 of 10,680 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Astros have allowed 3.78 runs per game (846/224) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.45.

Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Astros vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
  • Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
  • Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Yoan Moncada (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, 60-Day IL
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Braden Shewmake (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Lane Ramsey (Chicago White Sox): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.