White Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 18, 2022, 11:20 AM
  • The Astros (40-24) are -250 favorites vs the White Sox (30-32)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (0-3), 3.53 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (8-2), 1.94 ERA
  • Watch the game on SportsNet SW

The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston.

The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The White Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 30-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 31-33 ATS.

White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 +100O 8 -115+200
Astros -1.5 -120U 8 -105-250

White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 64.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Astros vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games (+11.95 Units / 171% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+10.25 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Yordan Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.55 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Michael Brantley has hit the Singles Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.15 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
    Alex Bregman 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
    Jose Altuve 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
    Martin Maldonado 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400

    Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aledmys Diaz 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
    Alex Bregman 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
    Jose Altuve 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Martin Maldonado 0.5 -115 0.5 -120

    Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Aledmys Diaz 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Alex Bregman 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
    Jose Altuve 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Kyle Tucker 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
    Martin Maldonado 0.5 +225 0.5 -350

    Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Justin Verlander 6.5 -130 6.5 -110
    Johnny Cueto 3.5 +105 3.5 -150
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+10.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 away games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 62 games (+17.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+11.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 94% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+3.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 28-34 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -8.61% ROI).

    • 30-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -8.48% ROI
    • 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.3% ROI
    • 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -7.15% ROI

    Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 31-33 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.82% ROI).

    • 40-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 5.21% ROI
    • 21-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.1 Units / -33.09% ROI
    • 41-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.85 Units / 25.09% ROI

    Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (14/21) against Johnny Cueto against right-handed batters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

    Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (120/608) against Johnny Cueto since the start of last season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .317 (53-for-167) against Johnny Cueto versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .219 — second Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .342 (51-for-149) against Johnny Cueto when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.

    Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Justin Verlander has allowed 6 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

    Left-handed batters are hitting just .165 (22-for-133) against Justin Verlander this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.

    Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .097 (7 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 98th Percentile.

    Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .219 (151 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 98th Percentile.

    White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

    The White Sox are just 2-28 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.

    The White Sox are 28-4 (.875) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    The White Sox are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

    The White Sox are just 13-17 (.433) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

    The Astros are 37-7 (.841) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

    The Astros are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

    The Astros are 17-10 (.630) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.

    The Astros are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

    The White Sox are batting .297 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

    White Sox hitters are slugging just .108 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

    White Sox hitters are slugging .482 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

    The White Sox are batting just .150 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.

    Astros hitters have just 508 strikeouts in 2,803 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Astros hitters have an OBP of .268 (4,472 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

    Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

    Astros hitters have just 638 strikeouts in 3,463 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

    White Sox pitchers have walked 243 of 2,412 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

    Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.62 (244.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.

    The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.38 (990.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.

    The Astros have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

    Astros vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jeremy Peña (Astros): Thumb, D10
  • Taylor Jones (Astros): Back, D60
  • Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Forearm, D60
  • Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
  • Jacob Odorizzi (Astros): Leg, D15
  • Jacob Meyers (Astros): Shoulder, D60
  • Parker Mushinski (Astros): Left elbow, D15
  • Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Arm, D15
  • Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Michael Kopech (White Sox): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Groin, D10

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.