- The Astros (40-24) are -250 favorites vs the White Sox (30-32)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (0-3), 3.53 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander (8-2), 1.94 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Chicago White Sox (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Saturday, June 18, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The White Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 30-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 31-33 ATS.
White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 +100 | O 8 -115 | +200 |
| Astros | -1.5 -120 | U 8 -105 | -250 |
White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s matchup with 64.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aledmys Diaz | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Alex Bregman | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Altuve | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Martin Maldonado | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 -110 |
| Johnny Cueto | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Astros: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 28-34 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -8.61% ROI).
- 30-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -8.48% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.3% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.95 Units / -7.15% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 31-33 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.82% ROI).
- 40-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 5.21% ROI
- 21-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.1 Units / -33.09% ROI
- 41-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.85 Units / 25.09% ROI
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (14/21) against Johnny Cueto against right-handed batters — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (120/608) against Johnny Cueto since the start of last season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 26% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .317 (53-for-167) against Johnny Cueto versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .219 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .342 (51-for-149) against Johnny Cueto when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Justin Verlander: Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed 6 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .165 (22-for-133) against Justin Verlander this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .097 (7 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 98th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .219 (151 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 98th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are just 2-28 (.067) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The White Sox are 28-4 (.875) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The White Sox are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The White Sox are just 13-17 (.433) at home this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros are 37-7 (.841) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Astros are 33-2 (.943) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Astros are 17-10 (.630) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Astros are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting .297 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .108 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.
White Sox hitters are slugging .482 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The White Sox are batting just .150 in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 508 strikeouts in 2,803 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OBP of .268 (4,472 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros hitters have just 638 strikeouts in 3,463 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 243 of 2,412 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 2.62 (244.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.85.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 42% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.38 (990.0 IP) at home since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
The Astros have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Astros vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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