- The Astros are -140 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease, – ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez, – ERA
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Chicago White Sox (+115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-140) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The White Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 10-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 13-10 ATS.
White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -110 | +115 |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -110 | -140 |
White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on White Sox vs Astros and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +145 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -175 |
| Framber Valdez | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +100 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 72 away games (+12.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 95 games (+7.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+33.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 100 of their last 173 games (+31.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 162 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 110 of their last 159 games (+28.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 156 games (+18.65 Units / 10% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 10-12 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -7.29% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -7.43% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -22.47% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.1 Units / 12.78% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 10.58% ROI).
- 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 17.98% ROI
- 9-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -25.35% ROI
- 14-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 15.98% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease walked 78 of 747 batters (10%) last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .163 (56-for-343) against Dylan Cease last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 97th Percentile.
Dylan Cease walked 26 of 210 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 5% — second Percentile.
Dylan Cease walked 54 of 480 batters (11%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 67% (372/555) against Framber Valdez last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 68% (119/174) against Framber Valdez in two-strike counts last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (636/933) against Framber Valdez since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 69% (539/783) against Framber Valdez since the start of the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The White Sox are 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 7-58 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The White Sox are just 37-44 (.457) at home last season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros are 43-15 (.741) when scoring in the first inning last season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Astros are 15-7 (.682) when tied entering the 7th inning last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 49-7 (.875) when hitting 2 or more home runs last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Astros are 55-26 (.679) at home last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters drew 275 walks in 4,780 PA’s (6%) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters hit 95 extra-base hits out of 322 total hits (just 29%) when the pitcher was behind in the count last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
The White Sox are batting .291 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have an average HR distance of 390.8 feet since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents batted just .212 against Astros pitchers last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Astros pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers allowed a slugging percentage of just .332 last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Astros vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D15
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