- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Astros starting pitcher: Cristian Javier
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Chicago White Sox (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Friday, March 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The White Sox vs Astros Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 0-1 ATS.
White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 +100 | +120 |
| Astros | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -120 | -145 |
White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 69.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- AJ Pollock has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+4.10 Units / 205% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+2.15 Units / 100% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 56% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jeremy Pena has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- David Hensley has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Korey Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.90 Units / 195% ROI)
- J.J. Matijevic has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.45 Units / 173% ROI)
Astros vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
Astros vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -115 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -110 |
Astros vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Astros vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristian Javier | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -160 |
| Lance Lynn | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 82 away games (+7.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 82 away games (+3.40 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 1 of their last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+33.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 102 of their last 176 games (+32.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 162 games (+30.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 117 of their last 176 games (+22.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 93 of their last 176 games (+13.30 Units / 6% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 58.82% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 120% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 83.33% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 0-1 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -100% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 83.33% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (134/328) against Lance Lynn on elevated fastballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn walked 8 of 289 left-handed batters (3%) in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 19% (67/353) against Lance Lynn since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Lance Lynn allowed a slugging percentage of .691 (38 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on low fastballs in 2022 — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .429 — fourth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristian Javier has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (531/1,010) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .092 (53-for-573) against Cristian Javier with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .167 — 99th Percentile.
Cristian Javier struck out 40% (104/263) of right-handed batters he faced in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .144 (27-for-187) against Cristian Javier versus the 2-3-4 hitters in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The White Sox are 70-12 (.854) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The White Sox were just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The White Sox were 12-5 (.706) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox were 26-30 (.464) when underdogs in 2022 — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Astros were 31-15 (.674) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Astros are 39-33 (.542) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .347.
The Astros are 49-29 (.628) vs the 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Astros are 39-27 (.591) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .444 (277 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .652.
White Sox hitters hit 95 extra-base hits out of 322 total hits (just 29%) when the pitcher was behind in the count in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
White Sox hitters pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of .337 (2,917 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters struck out just 321 times in 1,850 PA’s (17%) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 701 strikeouts in 3,931 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have just 831 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Astros are batting .189 with two-strikes since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 27% of their games in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros pitchers had an ERA of 2.73 (734.0 IP) at home in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 34% of their games on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.34 (2890.2 IP) since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Astros vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Jose Altuve (Astros): Thumb, D10
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Blake Taylor (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Parker Mushinski (Astros): Spine, D15
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D15
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