White Sox vs Astros Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 29

Houston Astros' Jose Altuve bats during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals, Monday, March 6, 2023, in Jupiter, Fla. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
(AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
Odds Boost: Same Game Parlay
  • The Astros are -130 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • White Sox / Astros TV Channel: PEAC | NBCS

The Chicago White Sox (+110) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-130) on September 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 5:00 pm in Houston, TX.

This season, the White Sox are 84-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 84-78 ATS.

White Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Hagen Smith 3-3, 1.29 ERA
  • Astros starting pitcher: A.J. Blubaugh 5-3, 3.65 ERA

White Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -185O 8 -105+110
Astros -1.5 +155U 8 -115-130

White Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 away games (+16.80 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+8.50 Units / 85% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+18.45 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+14.90 Units / 186% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Jorge Barrosa has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 45 away games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.55 Units / 21% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 90-69 against the Run Line (+6.75 Units / 3% ROI).

  • 84-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 5.57% ROI
  • 92-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.05 Units / 9.57% ROI
  • 68-92 when betting on the total runs Under for -33.45 Units / -18.76% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 84-78 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.05% ROI).

  • 81-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -5.81% ROI
  • 79-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -0.61% ROI
  • 72-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.6 Units / -8.25% ROI

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

The White Sox are 12-7 (.632) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

The White Sox are 15-6 (.714) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The White Sox were just 33-23 (.589) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The White Sox were just 40-103 (.280) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Astros Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Astros are 70-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Astros are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Astros were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

White Sox hitters have 75 extra-base hits out of 155 total hits (48%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have 151 extra-base hits out of 378 total hits (40%) against LHP this season — best in MLB.

White Sox hitters have grounded into 73 double plays in 1,175 opportunities (6%) this season — best in MLB.

White Sox hitters are slugging .500 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Astros hitters are slugging .424 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

29% of Astros hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Astros hitters have an OPS of .744 (3,150 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Astros hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The White Sox have won 46% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (4,095 batted balls) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.37 (462.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB.

Astros pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Astros have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.