- The Braves are -275 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Kopech
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton
- Watch the game on BSSE
The Chicago White Sox (+220) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-275) on Friday, July 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The White Sox vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 38-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 45-44 ATS.
White Sox vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +2.5 -125 | O 9.5 -120 | +220 |
| Braves | -2.5 +105 | U 9.5 +100 | -275 |
White Sox vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 85.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+14.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+10.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Runs Over in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.55 Units / 58% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+8.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+7.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Braves vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Braves vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Yasmani Grandal | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Braves vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Braves vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Kopech | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+11.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 away games (+2.60 Units / 19% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+18.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 17 games at home (+14.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 80 games (+9.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 55% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 45-47 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -8.62% ROI).
- 38-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.85 Units / -17.54% ROI
- 40-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.8 Units / -9.76% ROI
- 46-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.05 Units / 2.01% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 45-44 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.14% ROI).
- 60-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.8 Units / 10.64% ROI
- 48-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.1 Units / 6.22% ROI
- 38-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -15.2% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Division opponents are hitting just .160 (41-for-257) against Michael Kopech since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Kopech has walked 27 of 169 left-handed batters (16%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Michael Kopech has a strike rate of just 57% (412/725) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting just .080 (7-for-87) against Michael Kopech this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (30 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .375 — third Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (338/1,041) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (148/382) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 95th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (1,054/2,319) vs left-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The White Sox are just 4-14 (.222) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The White Sox are just 30-5 (.857) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox are just 12-25 (.324) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The White Sox are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Braves are 39-25 (.609) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 16-11 (.593) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Braves are 31-39 (.443) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 445 walks in 7,359 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (1,825 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have drawn 61 walks in 1,191 PA’s (5%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .299 (1,686 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .547 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .905 (795 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .822 (2,433 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Braves hitters are slugging .492 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 350 of 3,559 batters (10%) this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have won 55% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Alex Minter (Braves): Chest, Day-to-Day
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
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