- The Braves are -300 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Strider
- Watch the game on FOX
The Chicago White Sox (+240) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-300) on Saturday, July 15, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The White Sox vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 38-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 46-44 ATS.
White Sox vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +2.5 -120 | O 8 +100 | +240 |
| Braves | -2.5 +100 | U 8 -120 | -300 |
White Sox vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 87.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lance Lynn has hit the Earned Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 8 of his last 10 away games (+5.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 77% ROI)
- Dylan Dodd has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 5 games (+5.30 Units / 81% ROI)
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+4.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Spencer Strider has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
Braves vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Braves vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Braves vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Oscar Colas | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Zachary Remillard | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -500 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
Braves vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider | 9.5 -150 | 9.5 +115 |
| Lance Lynn | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 33 games (+19.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 18 games at home (+15.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 81 games (+8.75 Units / 10% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 45-48 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -9.36% ROI).
- 38-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.85 Units / -18.3% ROI
- 40-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -10.69% ROI
- 47-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 2.96% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 46-44 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 1.08% ROI).
- 61-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.8 Units / 11.11% ROI
- 48-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 5.09% ROI
- 39-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -14.01% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of 1.026 (220 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .727 — second Percentile.
Lance Lynn has a strikeout rate of 28% (127 SO in 456 PAs) this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 87th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (101/237) against Lance Lynn over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .198 (42-for-212) against Lance Lynn this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 89th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 39% (166 SO in 427 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .513 (20-for-39) against Spencer Strider on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .342 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 44% (195/443) against Spencer Strider this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Strider has struck out 38% (86/226) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The White Sox are just 4-14 (.222) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The White Sox are just 30-5 (.857) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The White Sox are just 12-25 (.324) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Braves are 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 39-25 (.609) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Braves are 16-11 (.593) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Braves are 13-6 (.684) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (1,840 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox has 1,412 quality ABs out of 3,471 total (41% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters have drawn 446 walks in 7,385 PA’s (6%) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,605 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .544 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .900 (799 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Braves are batting .276 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Braves hitters are slugging .477 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 359 of 3,601 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 649 opportunities (7%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 55% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have won 54% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Alex Minter (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
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