- The Braves are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
- Braves starting pitcher: Kolby Allard
- Watch the game on BSSE
The Chicago White Sox (+145) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on Sunday, July 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The White Sox vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the White Sox are 39-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 46-45 ATS.
White Sox vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -130 | O 9.5 -105 | +145 |
| Braves | -1.5 +105 | U 9.5 -115 | -175 |
White Sox vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 73.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+16.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.20 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Runs Over in his last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+10.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 49 games (+10.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Braves vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Braves vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tim Anderson | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -175 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
Braves vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tim Anderson | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Braves vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Dylan Cease | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Kolby Allard | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 56 games (+10.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+1.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 91 games (+17.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 28 games (+15.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 33 games (+15.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 34 games (+15.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+13.50 Units / 60% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 46-48 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -8.2% ROI).
- 39-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.25 Units / -15.76% ROI
- 41-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -9.6% ROI
- 47-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 1.92% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 46-45 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.37% ROI).
- 61-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.6 Units / 8.81% ROI
- 49-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 6.03% ROI
- 39-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.9 Units / -14.91% ROI
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has walked 25 of 212 right-handed batters (12%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 42% of the time (2,087/4,979) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 49% of the time (520/1,061) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown his slider 39% of the time (1,321/3,393) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kolby Allard has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last eight games dating back to August 4th, 2021 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Kolby Allard has a strike rate of just 50% (9/18) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 2nd lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 29% (66/226) versus Kutter Crawford in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 33% of Kolby Allard’s pitches (6/18) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 6th lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 48% — 10th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The White Sox are just 31-5 (.861) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox are just 4-14 (.222) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are just 12-25 (.324) after a win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The White Sox are just 13-7 (.650) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Braves are 39-25 (.609) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves are 18-10 (.643) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Braves are 16-12 (.571) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Braves are 42-18 (.700) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (1,865 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,642 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
White Sox has 1,426 quality ABs out of 3,508 total (41% QAB rate) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .900 (799 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Braves hitters are slugging .544 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .821 (2,437 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Braves hitters are slugging .483 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have walked 364 of 3,642 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 32% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 52% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Braves pitchers have won 55% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jesse Chavez (Braves): Shin, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Eddie Rosario (Braves): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Alex Minter (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Roman González (White Sox): Shoulder, D60
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Michael Clevinger (White Sox): Biceps, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
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