White Sox vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 16

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(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 16, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -175 favorites vs the White Sox
  • White Sox vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • White Sox / Diamondbacks TV Channel: NSCH | DBTV

The Chicago White Sox (+145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the White Sox are 19-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 32-39 ATS.

White Sox vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • White Sox starting pitcher: Drew Thorpe 0-0, 1.80 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 4-4, 6.67 ERA

White Sox vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -135O 8.5 -105+145
Diamondbacks -1.5 +110U 8.5 -115-175

White Sox vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 35 games (+33.85 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.65 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 54% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+15.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games (+13.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 44 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games at home (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 away games (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.55 Units / 61% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+7.45 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 26 games (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.75 Units / 31% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 32-40 against the Run Line (-11.9 Units / -13.8% ROI).

  • 19-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.5 Units / -36.73% ROI
  • 34-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.3 Units / -4.2% ROI
  • 34-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -3.6% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 32-39 against the Run Line (-12.1 Units / -12.94% ROI).

  • 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -7.68% ROI
  • 35-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -3.18% ROI
  • 34-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.05 Units / -5.22% ROI

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Lenyn Sosa (CWS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Luis Robert (CWS) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Diamondbacks vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Montgomery (ARI) 4.5 -110 4.5 -120
Drew Thorpe (CWS) 4.5 +120 4.5 -155

Drew Thorpe has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (38/98) this month (1 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (3-for-20) against Drew Thorpe this month (1 games) — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 94th Percentile.

Drew Thorpe has allowed an OBP of just .227 (22 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 91st Percentile.

Drew Thorpe has thrown off-speed pitches 58% of the time (57/98) this month (1 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total NonFB; League Avg: 44% — 93rd Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 16% (61 SO in 374 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .466 (160 Total Bases / 343 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 10th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OBP of .625 (16 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 0 Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed a slugging percentage of .561 (32 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 0 Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The White Sox are just 68-10 (.872) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The White Sox are just 10-10 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .811.

The White Sox are just 1-7 (.125) after a road win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The White Sox are just 16-15 (.516) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Diamondbacks are just 7-15 (.318) after a home win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Diamondbacks are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Diamondbacks are just 99-9 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Diamondbacks are 10-3 (.769) after a home loss this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,579 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,603 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .217 (4,525 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The White Sox have a winning percentage of just 19% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

28% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .791 (819 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .337 (819 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.

The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .315 against White Sox pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .258.

White Sox pitchers have won only 7% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 26% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
  • Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
  • Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
  • Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.