White Sox vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 19, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Guardians (63-55) are -135 favorites vs the White Sox (61-58)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Michael Lynn (3-5), 5.61 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie (8-9), 3.14 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Chicago White Sox (+110) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The White Sox vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 61-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 63-55 ATS.

White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -185O 7.5 -120+110
Guardians -1.5 +150U 7.5 +100-135

White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 52 of his last 76 games (+25.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 56 of his last 78 games (+20.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 44 of his last 78 games (+15.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 54% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+15.85 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+14.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 28 games at home (+13.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+12.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Oscar Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+12.50 Units / 51% ROI)

Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Austin Hedges 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Josh Naylor 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Austin Hedges 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Josh Naylor 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Myles Straw 0.5 -185 0.5 +130

Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Austin Hedges 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Josh Naylor 0.5 +115 0.5 -160

Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lance Lynn 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
Triston McKenzie 4.5 -145 4.5 +105
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 64 of their last 119 games (+12.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 away games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+4.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 31 away games (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 49 away games (+2.25 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 78 games (+9.60 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 99 games (+8.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 41 games (+7.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 54-64 against the Run Line (-10.5 Units / -7.47% ROI).

  • 61-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -6.1% ROI
  • 52-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -7.27% ROI
  • 57-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.23% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 63-55 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 1.94% ROI).

  • 63-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 6.17% ROI
  • 55-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.5 Units / -4.23% ROI
  • 55-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.4 Units / -4.16% ROI

Opponents are hitting .390 (23-for-59) against Lance Lynn on inside fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .260 — second Percentile.

Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .824 (28 Total Bases / 34 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .430 — first Percentile.

Lance Lynn has a strikeout rate of 43% (30 SO in 69 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Lance Lynn has not allowed a walk in his last 95 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 11st — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Triston McKenzie: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (76/228) against Triston McKenzie this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed a BABIP of .223 this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .285 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .143 (16-for-112) against Triston McKenzie’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% (49/134) against Triston McKenzie in two-strike counts this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 10th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The White Sox are 31-27 (.534) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The White Sox are just 6-30 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

The White Sox are 83-14 (.856) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The White Sox are just 5-43 (.104) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Guardians are 10-45 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Guardians are 43-1 (.977) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The White Sox are batting .259 on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The White Sox are batting .274 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .626 (1,139 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .331 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .528 (402 PA’s) against left-handed relievers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 23 of 460 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Guardians pitchers have walked 33 of 619 batters (5%) this month (17 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 5 of 155 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (17 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Luis Robert (White Sox): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Leury García (White Sox): Back, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.