White Sox vs Guardians Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 20

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 20, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Guardians (64-55) are -175 favorites vs the White Sox (61-59)
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (5-5), 2.78 ERA
  • Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (8-6), 3.18 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSGL

The Chicago White Sox (+145) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-175) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.

The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The White Sox vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the White Sox are 61-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 64-55 ATS.

White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
White Sox+1.5 -150O 7.5 -115+145
Guardians -1.5 +125U 7.5 -105-175

White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s matchup with 66.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Guardians vs White Sox and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 53 of his last 77 games (+26.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 57 of his last 79 games (+21.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 45 of his last 79 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
  • Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 54% ROI)

Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+15.20 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+12.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games at home (+12.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 47% ROI)

Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Josh Naylor 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Luke Maile 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500

Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jose Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Josh Naylor 1.5 +195 1.5 -300
Luke Maile 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Amed Rosario 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Andres Gimenez 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jose Ramirez 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Josh Naylor 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Luke Maile 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shane Bieber 5.5 -150 5.5 +110
Johnny Cueto 2.5 -185 2.5 +125
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 65 of their last 120 games (+13.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+15.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 100 games (+9.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 79 games (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 42 games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 54-65 against the Run Line (-12.4 Units / -8.7% ROI).

  • 61-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -6.69% ROI
  • 52-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -8.02% ROI
  • 58-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 0.99% ROI

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 64-55 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 3.03% ROI).

  • 64-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 6.79% ROI
  • 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -5% ROI
  • 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -3.36% ROI

Johnny Cueto has struck out just 8% (4/49) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.

Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (356/715) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .324 (72-for-222) against Johnny Cueto when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (23/162) against Johnny Cueto with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 80% (12/15) against Shane Bieber — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .156 (30 Total Bases / 192 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 32% (175/551) against Shane Bieber this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (218/635) against Shane Bieber since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The White Sox are 56-15 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The White Sox are just 5-44 (.102) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The White Sox are 11-2 (.846) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

The White Sox are 83-14 (.856) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Guardians are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Guardians are 10-48 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Guardians are 44-2 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

White Sox hitters have drawn 50 walks in 1,073 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .438 (261 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.

White Sox hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The White Sox are batting .258 on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Guardians hitters are slugging just .332 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Guardians hitters have just 590 strikeouts in 3,361 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have just 826 strikeouts in 4,504 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,143 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

White Sox pitchers have walked 68 of 1,073 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The White Sox pitchers have allowed the 27th hardest ball in play hit (119.1 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.7).

Guardians pitchers have walked 21 of 453 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Guardians pitchers have walked 33 of 653 batters (5%) this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.

Guardians pitchers have walked 66 of 1,058 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
  • Austin Hedges (Guardians): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
  • Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
  • Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
  • Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
  • Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
  • Leury García (White Sox): Back, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.