- The Guardians (64-55) are -175 favorites vs the White Sox (61-59)
- White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (5-5), 2.78 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber (8-6), 3.18 ERA
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Chicago White Sox (+145) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-175) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The White Sox vs Guardians Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the White Sox are 61-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 64-55 ATS.
White Sox vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| White Sox | +1.5 -150 | O 7.5 -115 | +145 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +125 | U 7.5 -105 | -175 |
White Sox vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s matchup with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the White Sox and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best White Sox Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Singles Over in 53 of his last 77 games (+26.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Over in 57 of his last 79 games (+21.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Over in 45 of his last 79 games (+16.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Danny Mendick has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+15.60 Units / 142% ROI)
- Dylan Cease has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+15.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Owen Miller has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+12.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games at home (+12.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 77% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.30 Units / 47% ROI)
Guardians vs White Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -2500 |
Guardians vs White Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Naylor | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -300 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Guardians vs White Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Ramirez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Luke Maile | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Guardians vs White Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +110 |
| Johnny Cueto | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 65 of their last 120 games (+13.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+15.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 100 games (+9.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 79 games (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 42 games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 54-65 against the Run Line (-12.4 Units / -8.7% ROI).
- 61-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -6.69% ROI
- 52-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.45 Units / -8.02% ROI
- 58-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.3 Units / 0.99% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 64-55 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 3.03% ROI).
- 64-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.05 Units / 6.79% ROI
- 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.55 Units / -5% ROI
- 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -3.36% ROI
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johnny Cueto has struck out just 8% (4/49) of right-handed batters he faced this month (3 games) — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has located his fastball inside 50% of the time (356/715) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .324 (72-for-222) against Johnny Cueto when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (23/162) against Johnny Cueto with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Shane Bieber: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 80% (12/15) against Shane Bieber — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has allowed a slugging percentage of just .156 (30 Total Bases / 192 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 32% (175/551) against Shane Bieber this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (218/635) against Shane Bieber since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The White Sox are 56-15 (.789) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The White Sox are just 5-44 (.102) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The White Sox are 11-2 (.846) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The White Sox are 83-14 (.856) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Guardians are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Guardians are 10-48 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Guardians are 44-2 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Guardians are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have drawn 50 walks in 1,073 PA’s (5%) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .438 (261 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 40% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The White Sox are batting .258 on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters are slugging just .332 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Guardians hitters have just 590 strikeouts in 3,361 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have just 826 strikeouts in 4,504 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,143 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 68 of 1,073 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
White Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The White Sox pitchers have allowed the 27th hardest ball in play hit (119.1 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 116.7).
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have walked 21 of 453 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 33 of 653 batters (5%) this month (18 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Guardians pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Guardians pitchers have walked 66 of 1,058 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Guardians vs. White Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Morris (Guardians): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Hedges (Guardians): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Gose (Guardians): Triceps, D60
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Finger, D10
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Knee, D60
- Leury García (White Sox): Back, D10
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